Stock Analysis

We Think Regional Express Holdings (ASX:REX) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

ASX:REX
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Regional Express Holdings Limited (ASX:REX) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Regional Express Holdings

How Much Debt Does Regional Express Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Regional Express Holdings had debt of AU$30.6m, up from AU$10.5m in one year. However, it does have AU$9.40m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$21.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:REX Debt to Equity History March 26th 2021

A Look At Regional Express Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Regional Express Holdings had liabilities of AU$64.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$24.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had AU$9.40m in cash and AU$29.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$50.7m.

Regional Express Holdings has a market capitalization of AU$173.7m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Regional Express Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Regional Express Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to AU$159m, which is a fall of 50%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Regional Express Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$75m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$18m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Regional Express Holdings (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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