Stock Analysis

Aurizon Holdings (ASX:AZJ) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To A$0.073

ASX:AZJ
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Aurizon Holdings Limited (ASX:AZJ) has announced that on 25th of September, it will be paying a dividend ofA$0.073, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. The dividend yield of 4.9% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

Check out our latest analysis for Aurizon Holdings

Aurizon Holdings' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Before this announcement, Aurizon Holdings was paying out 77% of earnings, but a comparatively small 40% of free cash flows. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 24.2%. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 62% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

historic-dividend
ASX:AZJ Historic Dividend August 19th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was A$0.123 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was A$0.17. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 3.3% over that duration. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Aurizon Holdings May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Although it's important to note that Aurizon Holdings' earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time.

Our Thoughts On Aurizon Holdings' Dividend

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We don't think Aurizon Holdings is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Aurizon Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.