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Uniti Group Valuation

Is UWL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UWL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UWL (A$4.99) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$3.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UWL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UWL?

Key metric: As UWL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UWL. This is calculated by dividing UWL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UWL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio62.8x
EarningsAU$54.59m
Market CapAU$3.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UWL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UWL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average125.4x
ABB Aussie Broadband
39x25.5%AU$1.0b
TPG TPG Telecom
270x34.4%AU$8.1b
DNET Indoritel Makmur Internasional
147.5xn/aRp128.4t
RAILTEL RailTel Corporation of India
44.9x21.9%₹117.1b
UWL Uniti Group
62.8x20.6%AU$3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UWL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.8x) compared to the peer average (93.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UWL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Telecom Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UWL 62.8xIndustry Avg. 15.9xNo. of Companies29PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.8x) compared to the Global Telecom industry average (18.1x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UWL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UWL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio62.8x
Fair PE Ratio42.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UWL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
May ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Jun ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
May ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Apr ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Mar ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Feb ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Jan ’24n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Dec ’23n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3
Nov ’23n/a
AU$4.80
0%
5.9%AU$5.00AU$4.40n/a3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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