Aussie Broadband Valuation

Is ABB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ABB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ABB (A$3.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$10.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ABB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ABB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.6x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ABB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ABB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average63.6x
TPG TPG Telecom
170.4x28.6%AU$8.4b
ATEX Anterix
36.9x-87.7%US$583.7m
4423 ARTERIA Networks
17x4.6%JP¥98.8b
6561 Chief Telecom
30.1xn/aNT$28.3b
ABB Aussie Broadband
47.7x26.7%AU$1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.7x) compared to the peer average (79.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ABB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.7x) compared to the Global Telecom industry average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ABB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ABB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.7x
Fair PE Ratio30.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ABB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$3.71
AU$4.16
+12.2%
13.2%AU$4.90AU$3.30n/a7
Apr ’25AU$3.58
AU$4.17
+16.5%
12.9%AU$4.90AU$3.35n/a7
Mar ’25AU$4.34
AU$4.36
+0.5%
22.7%AU$5.80AU$2.40n/a7
Feb ’25AU$3.82
AU$3.76
-1.5%
16.5%AU$4.50AU$2.40n/a7
Jan ’25AU$3.90
AU$3.74
-4.1%
16.8%AU$4.50AU$2.40n/a7
Dec ’24AU$3.74
AU$3.65
-2.5%
16.1%AU$4.20AU$2.40n/a6
Nov ’24AU$3.92
AU$3.54
-9.6%
15.6%AU$4.19AU$2.40n/a6
Oct ’24AU$4.11
AU$3.43
-16.5%
14.3%AU$3.84AU$2.40n/a6
Sep ’24AU$3.56
AU$3.73
+4.7%
22.9%AU$5.50AU$2.40n/a7
Aug ’24AU$2.80
AU$3.51
+25.5%
26.3%AU$5.50AU$2.40n/a7
Jul ’24AU$2.98
AU$3.53
+18.4%
26.1%AU$5.50AU$2.40n/a7
Jun ’24AU$2.79
AU$3.59
+28.8%
24.7%AU$5.50AU$2.40n/a7
May ’24AU$3.33
AU$3.61
+8.3%
24.5%AU$5.50AU$2.40AU$3.717
Apr ’24AU$3.12
AU$3.61
+15.6%
24.5%AU$5.50AU$2.40AU$3.587
Mar ’24AU$3.17
AU$3.62
+14.3%
24.4%AU$5.50AU$2.40AU$4.347
Feb ’24AU$2.98
AU$3.64
+22.0%
27.5%AU$5.41AU$2.10AU$3.826
Jan ’24AU$2.61
AU$3.66
+40.2%
25.2%AU$5.41AU$2.10AU$3.907
Dec ’23AU$2.65
AU$3.69
+39.2%
25.2%AU$5.41AU$2.10AU$3.747
Nov ’23AU$2.50
AU$3.76
+50.4%
25.4%AU$5.41AU$2.10AU$3.927
Oct ’23AU$2.28
AU$4.25
+86.3%
19.4%AU$5.41AU$3.10AU$4.116
Sep ’23AU$2.66
AU$4.31
+62.2%
21.2%AU$5.65AU$3.10AU$3.566
Aug ’23AU$3.05
AU$4.89
+60.3%
16.7%AU$6.10AU$3.45AU$2.806
Jul ’23AU$3.28
AU$5.53
+68.7%
11.5%AU$6.55AU$5.00AU$2.985
Jun ’23AU$4.10
AU$5.53
+35.0%
11.5%AU$6.55AU$5.00AU$2.795
May ’23AU$5.56
AU$5.99
+7.8%
12.5%AU$7.00AU$5.00AU$3.335

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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