TPG Telecom Limited

ASX:TPG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$7.4b

TPG Telecom Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 1/6

TPG Telecom's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -56.8%, while the Telecom industry saw earnings growing at 17.8% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 1.1% per year. TPG Telecom's return on equity is 0.6%, and it has net margins of 1%.

Key information

-56.82%

Earnings growth rate

-61.96%

EPS growth rate

Telecom Industry Growth39.66%
Revenue growth rate1.07%
Return on equity0.60%
Net Margin1.03%
Next Earnings Update21 Aug 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article 13h

TPG Telecom (ASX:TPG) Shares Could Be 7.7% Undervalued After Outage Recovery And Swoop Deal

TPG Telecom (ASX:TPG) is back in focus after a nationwide Vodafone mobile outage, followed by network restoration and review, and a new infrastructure partnership to support Swoop’s expansion into mobile services. See our latest analysis for TPG Telecom. The recent outage and subsequent recovery come against a mixed share price backdrop for TPG Telecom. The 1-day share price return of 3.26% and 7-day return of 2.43% sit alongside a 30-day share price return that declined 8.87%, while the...
Narrative Update Jun 18

TPG: Mobile Led Model And AI Tools Will Support Upside

Analysts have maintained their A$4.12 fair value estimate for TPG Telecom, citing unchanged assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Together, these factors support a consistent view of the stock’s valuation outlook.
Narrative Update Jun 04

TPG: Mobile First Model And AI Focus Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have lowered their price target for TPG Telecom to A$4.12 from A$4.16, citing updated assumptions that include slightly lower revenue growth, modestly softer profit margins and a small uplift in the projected future P/E multiple. What's in the News TPG Telecom highlighted first half FY26 mobile service revenue, supported by a digital first focus, AI use and disciplined cost management.
Narrative Update May 19

TPG: Fair Outlook Will Rely On Modest Discount Rate And P E Expectations

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for TPG Telecom steady at A$4.16, with a slightly higher discount rate and a largely unchanged future P/E assumption. This has led to no change in the overall price target while reflecting a modestly more cautious risk outlook.
Narrative Update Apr 30

TPG: Fair Outlook Will Depend On Lower Discount Rate And P/E Assumptions

Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on TPG Telecom to A$4.16 from A$4.13, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the key drivers of the change. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$4.13 to A$4.16, a slight uplift in the assessed valuation range.
Narrative Update Apr 15

TPG: Fair Outlook Will Rely On Refined Discount Rate And P/E Assumptions

Analysts have nudged their price target for TPG Telecom higher to A$4.13. This is a small refinement that reflects updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, rather than a major shift in outlook.
Narrative Update Mar 31

TPG: Stable Outlook Will Rely On Slightly Softer Discount Rate Assumptions

Analysts have nudged their price target for TPG Telecom slightly higher to A$4.13 from A$4.11, reflecting small adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin outlook and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$4.11 to A$4.13, a small upward adjustment to the estimated share valuation.
Narrative Update Mar 17

TPG: Stable Fair Value And Refined Assumptions Will Guide Future Returns

Analysts have maintained the TPG Telecom price target at A$4.11, making only minor adjustments to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. This reflects a largely unchanged view of the stock's key valuation drivers.
Narrative Update Mar 03

TPG: Equity Raising And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have reduced their price target for TPG Telecom from A$4.28 to A$4.11. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E assumption, supported by a slightly lower discount rate.
Narrative Update Feb 16

TPG: Recent Equity Raisings Will Support Higher Future Share Returns

Analysts have nudged their price target for TPG Telecom slightly higher to A$4.28 from A$4.26. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, modest revenue contraction, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Feb 02

TPG: Equity Raisings And Special Dividend Will Support Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target for TPG Telecom to A$4.26 from A$4.51, citing slightly lower fair value estimates along with modestly softer assumptions for long term revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News TPG Telecom completed a follow on equity offering totaling A$73.42 million through a rights issue of 20,585,238 ordinary shares at A$3.566623 per share (company filing).
Narrative Update Jan 19

TPG: Upcoming Capital Raises And Special Dividend Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their price target on TPG Telecom from A$4.75 to A$4.51, citing slightly softer assumptions on profit margins, revenue trends and future P/E multiples as the main reasons for the change. What's in the News TPG Telecom completed a follow on equity offering of A$73.4 million through a rights issue of 20,585,238 ordinary shares at A$3.57 per share, described as a Rights Offering (company event filing).
Narrative Update Jan 05

TPG: Upcoming Equity Offers And Special Dividend Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for TPG Telecom from A$4.64 to A$4.75 per share. The change reflects updated discount rate assumptions, expectations for slightly softer revenue contraction, and minor adjustments to profit margin and forward P/E inputs.
Narrative Update Dec 19

TPG: Upcoming Capital Returns Will Drive Attractive Upside For Shareholders

Analysts have trimmed their price target for TPG Telecom to approximately $4.64 from about $5.00. This reflects a slightly higher perceived risk, offset by modestly improved long term profit margin expectations and a lower projected future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Dec 05

TPG: Upcoming Capital Return Will Support Future Shareholder Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on TPG Telecom slightly to approximately $5.00 per share, citing marginally higher discount rate assumptions, along with largely unchanged expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. What's in the News TPG Telecom has completed a follow-on equity offering of approximately AUD 300 million via a subsequent direct listing of 83.1 million ordinary shares at AUD 3.61 per share (company filing).
Narrative Update Nov 21

TPG: Equity Offerings And Special Dividend Will Drive Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have revised TPG Telecom’s fair value estimate downward by $0.50 per share to $5.00, citing a modest contraction in profit margin expectations and a higher discount rate that is impacting future projections. What's in the News TPG Telecom has completed a follow-on equity offering worth AUD 300 million, issuing 83,102,493 ordinary shares at AUD 3.61 (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Oct 08

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over TPG Telecom Limited's (ASX:TPG) P/S Ratio

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Telecom industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or...
Analysis Article Jun 25

Is TPG Telecom (ASX:TPG) A Risky Investment?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
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New Narrative Feb 09

5G Investments And Optus Agreement Will Expand Market Coverage And Reduce Costs

TPG Telecom's focus on cost efficiency and business simplification is expected to slow OpEx growth and improve net margins.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How TPG Telecom makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

ASX:TPG Revenue, expenses and earnings (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Dec 255,051524560
30 Jun 255,577-825710
31 Mar 255,553-945610
31 Dec 244,907-1404200
30 Sep 245,080-664610
30 Jun 245,25285010
31 Mar 245,411295360
31 Dec 235,569495700
30 Sep 235,5502225600
30 Jun 235,5313945490
31 Mar 235,4914545350
31 Dec 225,4515135210
30 Sep 225,3713585270
30 Jun 225,2912025330
31 Mar 225,2921585190
31 Dec 215,2921135040
30 Sep 215,3694253950
30 Jun 215,4457362850
31 Mar 214,8987391920
31 Dec 204,351741990
30 Sep 203,844349920
30 Jun 203,336-44850
31 Mar 203,425-162840
31 Dec 193,513-280830
30 Sep 193,539-233940
30 Jun 193,564-1851050
31 Mar 193,587-155910
31 Dec 183,610-124760
30 Sep 183,586-157800
31 Jul 182,49539700
30 Jun 183,569-1892630
31 Mar 183,510-1832630
31 Dec 173,445-178830
30 Sep 173,413-1691590
31 Jul 172,49141400
30 Jun 173,382-1592210
31 Mar 173,358-2012210
31 Dec 163,334-2422350
30 Sep 163,403-2882290
30 Jun 163,477-3352220
31 Mar 163,563-3832220
31 Dec 153,645-4302220
30 Sep 153,592-5582200
30 Jun 153,539-6852170

Quality Earnings: TPG has a large one-off loss of A$9.0M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st December, 2025.

Growing Profit Margin: TPG became profitable in the past.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: TPG's earnings have declined by 56.8% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: TPG has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: TPG has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Telecom industry (4.3%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: TPG's Return on Equity (0.6%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/21 01:42
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/19 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TPG Telecom Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eric ChoiBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Ware KuoBofA Global Research
Nicholas BasileCLSA