TPG Telecom Limited

ASX:TPG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$8.1b

TPG Telecom Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

TPG Telecom is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 32.9% and 2.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 32.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 2.7% in 3 years.

Key information

32.9%

Earnings growth rate

32.10%

EPS growth rate

Telecom earnings growth9.9%
Revenue growth rate2.9%
Future return on equity2.69%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Apr 30

TPG: Fair Outlook Will Depend On Lower Discount Rate And P/E Assumptions

Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on TPG Telecom to A$4.16 from A$4.13, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the key drivers of the change. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$4.13 to A$4.16, a slight uplift in the assessed valuation range.
Narrative Update Apr 15

TPG: Fair Outlook Will Rely On Refined Discount Rate And P/E Assumptions

Analysts have nudged their price target for TPG Telecom higher to A$4.13. This is a small refinement that reflects updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, rather than a major shift in outlook.
Narrative Update Mar 31

TPG: Stable Outlook Will Rely On Slightly Softer Discount Rate Assumptions

Analysts have nudged their price target for TPG Telecom slightly higher to A$4.13 from A$4.11, reflecting small adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin outlook and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$4.11 to A$4.13, a small upward adjustment to the estimated share valuation.
Narrative Update Mar 17

TPG: Stable Fair Value And Refined Assumptions Will Guide Future Returns

Analysts have maintained the TPG Telecom price target at A$4.11, making only minor adjustments to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. This reflects a largely unchanged view of the stock's key valuation drivers.
Narrative Update Mar 03

TPG: Equity Raising And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have reduced their price target for TPG Telecom from A$4.28 to A$4.11. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E assumption, supported by a slightly lower discount rate.
Narrative Update Feb 16

TPG: Recent Equity Raisings Will Support Higher Future Share Returns

Analysts have nudged their price target for TPG Telecom slightly higher to A$4.28 from A$4.26. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, modest revenue contraction, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Feb 02

TPG: Equity Raisings And Special Dividend Will Support Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target for TPG Telecom to A$4.26 from A$4.51, citing slightly lower fair value estimates along with modestly softer assumptions for long term revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News TPG Telecom completed a follow on equity offering totaling A$73.42 million through a rights issue of 20,585,238 ordinary shares at A$3.566623 per share (company filing).
Narrative Update Jan 19

TPG: Upcoming Capital Raises And Special Dividend Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their price target on TPG Telecom from A$4.75 to A$4.51, citing slightly softer assumptions on profit margins, revenue trends and future P/E multiples as the main reasons for the change. What's in the News TPG Telecom completed a follow on equity offering of A$73.4 million through a rights issue of 20,585,238 ordinary shares at A$3.57 per share, described as a Rights Offering (company event filing).
Narrative Update Jan 05

TPG: Upcoming Equity Offers And Special Dividend Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for TPG Telecom from A$4.64 to A$4.75 per share. The change reflects updated discount rate assumptions, expectations for slightly softer revenue contraction, and minor adjustments to profit margin and forward P/E inputs.
Narrative Update Dec 19

TPG: Upcoming Capital Returns Will Drive Attractive Upside For Shareholders

Analysts have trimmed their price target for TPG Telecom to approximately $4.64 from about $5.00. This reflects a slightly higher perceived risk, offset by modestly improved long term profit margin expectations and a lower projected future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Dec 05

TPG: Upcoming Capital Return Will Support Future Shareholder Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on TPG Telecom slightly to approximately $5.00 per share, citing marginally higher discount rate assumptions, along with largely unchanged expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. What's in the News TPG Telecom has completed a follow-on equity offering of approximately AUD 300 million via a subsequent direct listing of 83.1 million ordinary shares at AUD 3.61 per share (company filing).
Narrative Update Nov 21

TPG: Equity Offerings And Special Dividend Will Drive Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have revised TPG Telecom’s fair value estimate downward by $0.50 per share to $5.00, citing a modest contraction in profit margin expectations and a higher discount rate that is impacting future projections. What's in the News TPG Telecom has completed a follow-on equity offering worth AUD 300 million, issuing 83,102,493 ordinary shares at AUD 3.61 (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Oct 08

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over TPG Telecom Limited's (ASX:TPG) P/S Ratio

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Telecom industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or...
Analysis Article Jun 25

Is TPG Telecom (ASX:TPG) A Risky Investment?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
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New Narrative Feb 09

5G Investments And Optus Agreement Will Expand Market Coverage And Reduce Costs

TPG Telecom's focus on cost efficiency and business simplification is expected to slow OpEx growth and improve net margins.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:TPG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20285,4432097301,55411
12/31/20275,3031298071,49212
12/31/20265,158586641,42812
12/31/20255,051521,5262,417N/A
6/30/20255,577-828971,915N/A
3/31/20255,553-948271,921N/A
12/31/20244,907-1407561,926N/A
9/30/20245,080-666731,848N/A
6/30/20245,25285901,769N/A
3/31/20245,411294791,646N/A
12/31/20235,569493681,522N/A
9/30/20235,5502223141,480N/A
6/30/20235,5313942601,437N/A
3/31/20235,4914542601,344N/A
12/31/20225,4515132591,251N/A
9/30/20225,3713584401,419N/A
6/30/20225,2912026201,587N/A
3/31/20225,2921586631,605N/A
12/31/20215,2921137051,622N/A
9/30/20215,3694256791,528N/A
6/30/20215,4457366531,433N/A
3/31/20214,8987395131,311N/A
12/31/20204,3517413721,188N/A
9/30/20203,8443494401,200N/A
6/30/20203,336-445081,212N/A
3/31/20203,425-1625931,254N/A
12/31/20193,513-2806781,296N/A
9/30/20193,539-233N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20193,564-185N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20193,587-155N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20183,610-124N/A1,125N/A
9/30/20183,586-157N/AN/AN/A
7/31/20182,495397N/A674N/A
6/30/20183,569-189N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20183,510-183N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20173,445-178N/A1,099N/A
9/30/20173,413-169N/AN/AN/A
7/31/20172,491414N/A723N/A
6/30/20173,382-159N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20173,358-201N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20163,334-242N/A1,040N/A
9/30/20163,403-288N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20163,477-335N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20163,563-383N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20153,645-430N/A829N/A
9/30/20153,592-558N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20153,539-685N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TPG's forecast earnings growth (32.9% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).

Earnings vs Market: TPG's earnings (32.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TPG's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TPG's revenue (2.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (6.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TPG's revenue (2.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TPG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (2.7%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/08 14:00
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/08 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TPG Telecom Limited is covered by 17 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eric ChoiBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Ware KuoBofA Global Research
Nicholas BasileCLSA