Stock Analysis

Macquarie Telecom Group (ASX:MAQ) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Macquarie Telecom Group Limited (ASX:MAQ) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Macquarie Telecom Group

How Much Debt Does Macquarie Telecom Group Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2020, Macquarie Telecom Group had AU$48.0m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have AU$37.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$10.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:MAQ Debt to Equity History December 7th 2020

How Healthy Is Macquarie Telecom Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Macquarie Telecom Group had liabilities of AU$67.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$134.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$37.9m in cash and AU$29.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$134.6m.

Since publicly traded Macquarie Telecom Group shares are worth a total of AU$1.06b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Macquarie Telecom Group has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Macquarie Telecom Group's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.21 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.4 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Notably Macquarie Telecom Group's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. We would prefer to see some earnings growth, because that always helps diminish debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Macquarie Telecom Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Macquarie Telecom Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Macquarie Telecom Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. In particular, its net debt to EBITDA was re-invigorating. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Macquarie Telecom Group is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Macquarie Telecom Group you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:MAQ

Macquarie Technology Group

Provides telecommunication, cloud computing, cybersecurity, and data center services to corporate and government customers in Australia.

Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.

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