Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Codan (ASX:CDA) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

ASX:CDA
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Codan Limited (ASX:CDA) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

We check all companies for important risks. See what we found for Codan in our free report.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Codan's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2024 Codan had AU$152.0m of debt, an increase on AU$106.1m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$27.9m, its net debt is less, at about AU$124.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:CDA Debt to Equity History May 4th 2025

A Look At Codan's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Codan had liabilities of AU$159.7m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$232.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$27.9m and AU$111.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling AU$252.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Codan has a market capitalization of AU$2.91b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

View our latest analysis for Codan

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Codan has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.92. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also positive, Codan grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Codan's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Codan's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Happily, Codan's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Codan takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Codan insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:CDA

Codan

Develops technology solutions for United Nations organizations, security and military groups, government departments, individuals, and small-scale miners.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.