Stock Analysis

Ava Risk Group Limited's (ASX:AVA) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.2x in the Electronic industry in Australia, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Ava Risk Group Limited's (ASX:AVA) P/S ratio of 1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Ava Risk Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:AVA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 19th 2024
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What Does Ava Risk Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Ava Risk Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ava Risk Group.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ava Risk Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 26%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 31% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 29% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 25%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Ava Risk Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Ava Risk Group's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Ava Risk Group currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Ava Risk Group that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:AVA

AVA Risk Group

Provides risk management technologies in Australia, Europe, Asia Pacific, India, Middle East, North Africa, the United States, and internationally.

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.

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