Stock Analysis

Why Xero Limited (ASX:XRO) Could Be Worth Watching

ASX:XRO
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Xero Limited (ASX:XRO) saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ASX, rising to highs of AU$186 and falling to the lows of AU$156. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Xero's current trading price of AU$157 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Xero’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Xero

What Is Xero Worth?

According to our valuation model, Xero seems to be fairly priced at around 11.86% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Xero today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth A$140.69, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. In addition to this, Xero has a low beta, which suggests its share price is less volatile than the wider market.

What kind of growth will Xero generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:XRO Earnings and Revenue Growth March 17th 2025

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Xero. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in XRO’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on XRO, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Since timing is quite important when it comes to individual stock picking, it's worth taking a look at what those latest analysts forecasts are. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:XRO

Xero

A software as a service company, provides online business solutions for small businesses and their advisors in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.