Stock Analysis

Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Whispir Limited (ASX:WSP) Revenue Forecasts By 11%

ASX:WSP
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Celebrations may be in order for Whispir Limited (ASX:WSP) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant upgrade to their statutory estimates for the company. The revenue forecast for this year has experienced a facelift, with the analysts now much more optimistic on its sales pipeline.

After this upgrade, Whispir's five analysts are now forecasting revenues of AU$65m in 2022. This would be a huge 37% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Losses are supposed to balloon 92% to AU$0.16 per share. Yet before this consensus update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of AU$59m and losses of AU$0.17 per share in 2022. We can see there's definitely been a change in sentiment in this update, with the analysts administering a sizeable upgrade to this year's revenue estimates, while at the same time reducing their loss estimates.

View our latest analysis for Whispir

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ASX:WSP Earnings and Revenue Growth December 1st 2021

Despite these upgrades, the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of AU$4.16, implying that their latest estimates don't have a long term impact on what they think the stock is worth. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Whispir analyst has a price target of AU$4.85 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at AU$3.45. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Whispir shareholders.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Whispir's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 37% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2022 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 19% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 18% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Whispir to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The highlight for us was that the consensus reduced its estimated losses this year, perhaps suggesting Whispir is moving incrementally towards profitability. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. Given that analysts appear to be expecting substantial improvement in the sales pipeline, now could be the right time to take another look at Whispir.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Whispir analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Whispir might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.