Stock Analysis

Is SenSen Networks (ASX:SNS) A Risky Investment?

ASX:SNS
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that SenSen Networks Limited (ASX:SNS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for SenSen Networks

What Is SenSen Networks's Net Debt?

As you can see below, SenSen Networks had AU$2.27m of debt at June 2024, down from AU$3.10m a year prior. On the flip side, it has AU$1.57m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$700.7k.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:SNS Debt to Equity History October 8th 2024

How Strong Is SenSen Networks' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, SenSen Networks had liabilities of AU$5.70m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$509.6k due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$1.57m as well as receivables valued at AU$1.20m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$3.44m.

Given SenSen Networks has a market capitalization of AU$43.6m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since SenSen Networks will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year SenSen Networks wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 12%, to AU$12m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, SenSen Networks had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping AU$5.9m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$1.3m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with SenSen Networks (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.