Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Shekel Brainweigh Ltd.'s (ASX:SBW) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 27%

ASX:SBW
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Shekel Brainweigh Ltd. (ASX:SBW) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Shekel Brainweigh's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.6x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Shekel Brainweigh

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:SBW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 3rd 2024

How Shekel Brainweigh Has Been Performing

The recent revenue growth at Shekel Brainweigh would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance might fall short of industry figures in the near future, leading to a reduced P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shekel Brainweigh's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shekel Brainweigh?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shekel Brainweigh would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.2%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 49% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Shekel Brainweigh's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Shekel Brainweigh's P/S

Shekel Brainweigh's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Shekel Brainweigh confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Shekel Brainweigh has 5 warning signs (and 4 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shekel Brainweigh's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shekel Brainweigh is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.