Stock Analysis

We're Interested To See How Prophecy International Holdings (ASX:PRO) Uses Its Cash Hoard To Grow

ASX:PRO
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So should Prophecy International Holdings (ASX:PRO) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

See our latest analysis for Prophecy International Holdings

When Might Prophecy International Holdings Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Prophecy International Holdings last reported its balance sheet in December 2022, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$9.8m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through AU$773k. That means it had a cash runway of very many years as of December 2022. Even though this is but one measure of the company's cash burn, the thought of such a long cash runway warms our bellies in a comforting way. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:PRO Debt to Equity History July 11th 2023

Is Prophecy International Holdings' Revenue Growing?

We're hesitant to extrapolate on the recent trend to assess its cash burn, because Prophecy International Holdings actually had positive free cash flow last year, so operating revenue growth is probably our best bet to measure, right now. It's nice to see that operating revenue was up 27% in the last year. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Prophecy International Holdings has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Easily Can Prophecy International Holdings Raise Cash?

Notwithstanding Prophecy International Holdings' revenue growth, it is still important to consider how it could raise more money, if it needs to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Prophecy International Holdings' cash burn of AU$773k is about 1.7% of its AU$46m market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

Is Prophecy International Holdings' Cash Burn A Worry?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Prophecy International Holdings' cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. But it's fair to say that its revenue growth was also very reassuring. After considering a range of factors in this article, we're pretty relaxed about its cash burn, since the company seems to be in a good position to continue to fund its growth. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 2 warning signs for Prophecy International Holdings (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.