Stock Analysis

After Leaping 28% Prophecy International Holdings Limited (ASX:PRO) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

ASX:PRO
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The Prophecy International Holdings Limited (ASX:PRO) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 48%.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Prophecy International Holdings' P/S ratio of 2.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Software industry in Australia is also close to 2.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Prophecy International Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:PRO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 22nd 2024

How Prophecy International Holdings Has Been Performing

Prophecy International Holdings has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Prophecy International Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Prophecy International Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Prophecy International Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 75% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 22% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Prophecy International Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Prophecy International Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It appears to us that Prophecy International Holdings maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. Currently, with a past revenue trend that aligns closely wit the industry outlook, shareholders are confident the company's future revenue outlook won't contain any major surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

Having said that, be aware Prophecy International Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Prophecy International Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.