Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Netlinkz Limited (ASX:NET) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Netlinkz
What Is Netlinkz's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2020 Netlinkz had AU$14.1m of debt, an increase on AU$7.02m, over one year. However, it does have AU$4.12m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$10.0m.
How Strong Is Netlinkz's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Netlinkz had liabilities of AU$19.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$95.1k due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$4.12m in cash and AU$222.3k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$15.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Netlinkz shares are worth a total of AU$145.6m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Netlinkz will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Netlinkz reported revenue of AU$5.3m, which is a gain of 841%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That's virtually the hole-in-one of revenue growth!
Caveat Emptor
Even though Netlinkz managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost AU$12m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$11m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Netlinkz you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About ASX:NET
Netlinkz
Provides network solutions in Australia, New Zealand, China, and internationally.
Low with mediocre balance sheet.