With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 15x in Australia, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Etherstack plc's (ASX:ESK) P/E ratio of 15.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Etherstack as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, Etherstack would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 182% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 19,754% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 43% per annum during the coming three years according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Etherstack's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Etherstack's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Etherstack (1 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Etherstack might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:ESK
Etherstack
A wireless technology company, engages in the development, manufacturing, licensing, and sale of mission critical radio technologies to equipment manufacturers and network operators in the United States, Canada, Australia, South Korea, the United Kingdom, Japan, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.