Stock Analysis

DUG Technology Ltd (ASX:DUG) Shares Slammed 25% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

ASX:DUG
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DUG Technology Ltd (ASX:DUG) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 26% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may still consider DUG Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 69.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

DUG Technology hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for DUG Technology

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:DUG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 24th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on DUG Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as DUG Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 45%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 69% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 18% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that DUG Technology's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From DUG Technology's P/E?

Even after such a strong price drop, DUG Technology's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of DUG Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - DUG Technology has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than DUG Technology. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.