Stock Analysis

Data#3 Limited (ASX:DTL) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

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ASX:DTL

Data#3 (ASX:DTL) has had a rough month with its share price down 19%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study Data#3's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Data#3

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Data#3 is:

58% = AU$43m ÷ AU$75m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every A$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of A$0.58.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Data#3's Earnings Growth And 58% ROE

First thing first, we like that Data#3 has an impressive ROE. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 6.4% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. This likely paved the way for the modest 17% net income growth seen by Data#3 over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Data#3's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 27% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

ASX:DTL Past Earnings Growth December 23rd 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is DTL worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether DTL is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Data#3 Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

While Data#3 has a three-year median payout ratio of 91% (which means it retains 8.8% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

Moreover, Data#3 is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 91% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Data#3's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 63% for future ROE.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Data#3 has some positive attributes. As noted earlier, its earnings growth has been quite decent, and the high ROE does contribute to that growth. Still, the company invests little to almost none of its profits. This could potentially reduce the odds that the company continues to see the same level of growth in the future. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.