Stock Analysis

Should You Rely On Cirrus Networks Holdings's (ASX:CNW) Earnings Growth?

ASX:CNW
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Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. This article will consider whether Cirrus Networks Holdings' (ASX:CNW) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Cirrus Networks Holdings made a profit of AU$2.86m on revenue of AU$95.2m. Happily, it has grown both its profit and revenue over the last three years, as you can see in the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for Cirrus Networks Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:CNW Earnings and Revenue History November 22nd 2020

Not all profits are equal, and we can learn more about the nature of a company's past profitability by diving deeper into the financial statements. This article, will discuss how a tax benefit impacted Cirrus Networks Holdings' most recent profit results. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

An Unusual Tax Situation

Cirrus Networks Holdings reported a tax benefit of AU$1.7m, which is well worth noting. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

Our Take On Cirrus Networks Holdings' Profit Performance

Cirrus Networks Holdings received a tax benefit in its last reported period, as we have mentioned already. Tax is usually an expense, not a benefit, so we don't think the reported profit number is a particularly good guide to the earning potential of the business. For this reason, we think that Cirrus Networks Holdings' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Cirrus Networks Holdings at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Cirrus Networks Holdings, and understanding these bad boys should be part of your investment process.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Cirrus Networks Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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