Peter Warren Automotive Holdings Limited

CHIA:PWR Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$283.8m

Peter Warren Automotive Holdings Valuation

Is PWR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PWR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PWR (A$1.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PWR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PWR?

Key metric: As PWR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PWR. This is calculated by dividing PWR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PWR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.9x
EarningsAU$36.09m
Market CapAU$283.81m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PWR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PWR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.1x
ASG Autosports Group
6.4x2.0%AU$377.5m
MTO MotorCycle Holdings
9.5x9.4%AU$134.0m
APE Eagers Automotive
11.2x1.8%AU$2.9b
STP Step One Clothing
21.4x12.4%AU$255.2m
PWR Peter Warren Automotive Holdings
7.9x4.5%AU$283.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PWR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (11.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PWR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
PWR 7.9xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies4PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PWR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the Australian Specialty Retail industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PWR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PWR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.9x
Fair PE Ratio12.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PWR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PWR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.70
AU$1.92
+13.0%
9.3%AU$2.29AU$1.70n/a8
Nov ’25AU$1.74
AU$1.95
+12.2%
10.3%AU$2.29AU$1.70n/a8
Oct ’25AU$1.67
AU$2.13
+27.6%
25.3%AU$3.56AU$1.70n/a9
Sep ’25AU$1.84
AU$2.14
+16.5%
25.1%AU$3.56AU$1.70n/a9
Aug ’25AU$1.86
AU$2.21
+19.2%
23.3%AU$3.56AU$1.70n/a9
Jul ’25AU$1.73
AU$2.21
+28.2%
23.3%AU$3.56AU$1.70n/a9
Jun ’25AU$1.76
AU$2.39
+35.8%
22.7%AU$3.56AU$1.70n/a9
May ’25AU$2.21
AU$2.91
+31.6%
12.4%AU$3.56AU$2.40n/a9
Apr ’25AU$2.24
AU$2.91
+30.1%
12.1%AU$3.56AU$2.45n/a9
Mar ’25AU$2.23
AU$2.83
+27.1%
10.1%AU$3.30AU$2.45n/a8
Feb ’25AU$2.41
AU$3.23
+34.0%
7.1%AU$3.50AU$2.76n/a8
Jan ’25AU$2.43
AU$3.34
+37.5%
5.0%AU$3.55AU$3.04n/a8
Dec ’24AU$2.24
AU$3.38
+50.9%
5.7%AU$3.69AU$3.04n/a9
Nov ’24AU$2.34
AU$3.38
+44.4%
5.7%AU$3.69AU$3.04AU$1.749
Oct ’24AU$2.50
AU$3.38
+35.2%
5.7%AU$3.69AU$3.04AU$1.679
Sep ’24AU$2.59
AU$3.38
+30.5%
5.7%AU$3.69AU$3.04AU$1.849
Aug ’24AU$2.52
AU$3.41
+35.5%
6.3%AU$3.70AU$3.19AU$1.869
Jul ’24AU$2.44
AU$3.46
+42.0%
6.8%AU$3.85AU$3.19AU$1.739
Jun ’24AU$2.50
AU$3.48
+39.2%
7.1%AU$3.85AU$3.19AU$1.768
May ’24AU$2.61
AU$3.48
+33.2%
5.3%AU$3.70AU$3.20AU$2.218
Apr ’24AU$2.62
AU$3.44
+31.4%
4.8%AU$3.70AU$3.20AU$2.248
Mar ’24AU$2.79
AU$3.44
+23.4%
4.8%AU$3.70AU$3.20AU$2.238
Feb ’24AU$2.86
AU$3.54
+23.8%
8.3%AU$3.99AU$3.10AU$2.418
Jan ’24AU$2.69
AU$3.55
+31.9%
8.9%AU$3.99AU$3.10AU$2.437
Dec ’23AU$2.85
AU$3.54
+24.4%
9.6%AU$3.99AU$3.10AU$2.246
Nov ’23AU$2.85
AU$3.54
+24.2%
9.6%AU$3.99AU$3.10AU$2.346

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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