KMD Brands Valuation

Is KMD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KMD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KMD (A$0.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KMD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KMD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KMD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.7x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KMD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KMD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.6x
BBN Baby Bunting Group
18.3x41.3%AU$180.1m
MHJ Michael Hill International
12.9x29.1%AU$167.3m
SSG Shaver Shop Group
9.8x5.4%AU$152.6m
ABY Adore Beauty Group
181.4x74.7%AU$94.9m
KMD KMD Brands
26.5x36.3%AU$306.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KMD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the peer average (55.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KMD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KMD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the Australian Specialty Retail industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KMD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KMD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.5x
Fair PE Ratio26.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KMD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KMD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.40
AU$0.58
+47.6%
16.1%AU$0.70AU$0.46n/a4
Jun ’25AU$0.40
AU$0.56
+40.9%
15.2%AU$0.69AU$0.46n/a4
May ’25AU$0.47
AU$0.62
+31.4%
18.2%AU$0.78AU$0.51n/a3
Apr ’25AU$0.53
AU$0.62
+18.9%
18.2%AU$0.78AU$0.51n/a3
Mar ’25AU$0.49
AU$0.66
+35.5%
15.2%AU$0.80AU$0.59n/a3
Feb ’25AU$0.64
AU$0.89
+39.7%
12.9%AU$1.02AU$0.74n/a3
Jan ’25AU$0.70
AU$0.89
+26.8%
12.9%AU$1.02AU$0.74n/a3
Dec ’24AU$0.71
AU$1.02
+43.5%
9.5%AU$1.13AU$0.89n/a3
Nov ’24AU$0.78
AU$1.02
+30.6%
9.5%AU$1.13AU$0.89n/a3
Oct ’24AU$0.81
AU$1.01
+24.8%
7.4%AU$1.10AU$0.92n/a3
Sep ’24AU$0.77
AU$1.10
+43.4%
4.0%AU$1.16AU$1.07n/a3
Aug ’24AU$0.84
AU$1.10
+29.9%
4.0%AU$1.16AU$1.07n/a3
Jul ’24AU$0.93
AU$1.30
+39.7%
9.0%AU$1.46AU$1.17n/a3
Jun ’24AU$1.02
AU$1.30
+27.4%
9.0%AU$1.46AU$1.17AU$0.403
May ’24AU$1.04
AU$1.26
+20.8%
8.0%AU$1.40AU$1.16AU$0.473
Apr ’24AU$1.01
AU$1.26
+24.4%
8.0%AU$1.40AU$1.16AU$0.533
Mar ’24AU$1.03
AU$1.24
+20.4%
7.5%AU$1.36AU$1.13AU$0.493
Feb ’24AU$0.97
AU$1.27
+31.2%
7.4%AU$1.38AU$1.15AU$0.643
Jan ’24AU$0.96
AU$1.31
+36.3%
7.4%AU$1.42AU$1.18AU$0.703
Dec ’23AU$1.01
AU$1.29
+27.2%
7.4%AU$1.39AU$1.16AU$0.713
Nov ’23AU$0.97
AU$1.30
+33.9%
3.3%AU$1.36AU$1.27AU$0.783
Oct ’23AU$0.92
AU$1.25
+36.4%
1.7%AU$1.28AU$1.23AU$0.813
Sep ’23AU$0.96
AU$1.39
+45.2%
6.1%AU$1.45AU$1.27AU$0.773
Aug ’23AU$0.98
AU$1.39
+42.2%
6.1%AU$1.45AU$1.27AU$0.843
Jul ’23AU$0.98
AU$1.39
+42.2%
6.1%AU$1.45AU$1.27AU$0.933
Jun ’23AU$1.10
AU$1.39
+27.3%
6.1%AU$1.45AU$1.27AU$1.023

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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