KMD Brands Limited

CHIA:KMD Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$122.2m

KMD Brands Valuation

Is KMD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of KMD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: KMD (A$0.07) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (A$0.74)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: KMD is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KMD?

Key metric: As KMD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for KMD. This is calculated by dividing KMD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is KMD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
SalesNZ$1.02b
Market CapNZ$147.55m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does KMD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for KMD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
MHJ Michael Hill International
0.2x3.07%AU$119.3m
SSG Shaver Shop Group
0.8x4.02%AU$172.3m
BBN Baby Bunting Group
0.4x8.26%AU$224.1m
DSK Dusk Group
0.3x5.14%AU$45.5m
KMD KMD Brands
0.1x2.87%AU$147.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: KMD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does KMD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Specialty Retail Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PWR Peter Warren Automotive Holdings
0.06x7.11%US$109.04m
BKG Booktopia Group
0.06xn/aUS$6.97m
MOZ Mosaic Brands
0.01xn/aUS$4.17m
SRY Story-I
0.03xn/aUS$994.66k
No more companies available in this PS range
KMD 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies6PS00.40.81.21.62+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: KMD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Australian Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KMD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KMD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: KMD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KMD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.067
AU$0.099
+47.68%
17.46%AU$0.12AU$0.071n/a4
Jun ’27AU$0.072
AU$0.099
+37.43%
17.46%AU$0.12AU$0.071n/a4
May ’27AU$0.051
AU$0.12
+132.71%
3.29%AU$0.12AU$0.12n/a3
Apr ’27AU$0.15
AU$0.16
+2.09%
33.56%AU$0.23AU$0.12n/a3
Mar ’27AU$0.20
AU$0.29
+42.21%
19.69%AU$0.39AU$0.24n/a4
Feb ’27AU$0.23
AU$0.29
+24.21%
19.69%AU$0.39AU$0.24n/a4
Jan ’27AU$0.24
AU$0.29
+22.43%
19.69%AU$0.39AU$0.24n/a4
Dec ’26AU$0.24
AU$0.29
+21.70%
19.69%AU$0.39AU$0.24n/a4
Nov ’26AU$0.25
AU$0.29
+16.32%
20.55%AU$0.39AU$0.24n/a4
Oct ’26AU$0.24
AU$0.29
+22.35%
20.55%AU$0.40AU$0.25n/a4
Sep ’26AU$0.21
AU$0.33
+52.77%
16.08%AU$0.41AU$0.27n/a4
Aug ’26AU$0.23
AU$0.32
+43.47%
16.47%AU$0.41AU$0.27n/a4
Jul ’26AU$0.25
AU$0.31
+25.89%
21.11%AU$0.42AU$0.23n/a4
Jun ’26AU$0.28
AU$0.43
+57.42%
16.98%AU$0.51AU$0.35AU$0.0724
May ’26AU$0.32
AU$0.43
+37.43%
16.98%AU$0.51AU$0.35AU$0.0514
Apr ’26AU$0.34
AU$0.44
+30.56%
18.31%AU$0.55AU$0.36AU$0.154
Mar ’26AU$0.35
AU$0.47
+33.40%
16.64%AU$0.54AU$0.36AU$0.204
Feb ’26AU$0.36
AU$0.47
+28.72%
16.64%AU$0.54AU$0.36AU$0.234
Jan ’26AU$0.39
AU$0.51
+30.26%
12.78%AU$0.57AU$0.41AU$0.244
Dec ’25AU$0.38
AU$0.51
+35.47%
12.78%AU$0.57AU$0.41AU$0.244
Nov ’25AU$0.40
AU$0.54
+36.06%
11.84%AU$0.62AU$0.46AU$0.254
Oct ’25AU$0.47
AU$0.54
+15.79%
11.84%AU$0.62AU$0.46AU$0.244
Sep ’25AU$0.53
AU$0.55
+4.60%
15.59%AU$0.64AU$0.41AU$0.214
Aug ’25AU$0.39
AU$0.49
+26.63%
19.81%AU$0.63AU$0.40AU$0.234
Jul ’25AU$0.34
AU$0.51
+48.86%
19.29%AU$0.64AU$0.41AU$0.254
Jun ’25AU$0.40
AU$0.56
+40.87%
15.25%AU$0.69AU$0.46AU$0.284
AU$0.097
Fair Value
30.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/12 18:50
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/12 00:00
Earnings2026/01/31
Annual Earnings2025/07/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

KMD Brands Limited is covered by 13 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Sam HaddadBell Potter
Jacqueline FernleyCanaccord Genuity Historic (Wilsons Advisory and Stockbroking Ltd.
Mark WadeCLSA