KMD Brands Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

KMD Brands is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 57.6% and 4.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 54.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5% in 3 years.

Key information

57.6%

Earnings growth rate

54.9%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	8.4%
Revenue growth rate	4.2%
Future return on equity	5.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	20 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:KMD - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
7/31/2027	1,116	46	123	136	7
7/31/2026	1,068	33	67	127	7
7/31/2025	1,002	11	65	133	7
7/31/2024	979	-50	112	145	N/A
4/30/2024	1,002	-19	118	152	N/A
1/31/2024	1,024	12	123	160	N/A
10/31/2023	1,063	23	118	154	N/A
7/31/2023	1,103	35	112	148	N/A
4/30/2023	1,112	45	98	134	N/A
1/31/2023	1,120	55	85	120	N/A
10/31/2022	1,050	45	67	101	N/A
7/31/2022	980	36	49	82	N/A
4/30/2022	950	35	67	99	N/A
1/31/2022	919	33	85	116	N/A
10/31/2021	921	47	116	147	N/A
7/31/2021	923	61	148	178	N/A
4/30/2021	886	42	148	174	N/A
1/31/2021	849	23	148	169	N/A
10/31/2020	825	16	149	170	N/A
7/31/2020	802	8	150	170	N/A
4/30/2020	736	29	132	151	N/A
1/31/2020	670	51	113	133	N/A
10/31/2019	605	54	80	97	N/A
7/31/2019	539	58	46	62	N/A
4/30/2019	532	55	37	52	N/A
1/31/2019	525	52	28	43	N/A
10/31/2018	511	52	43	59	N/A
7/31/2018	497	51	59	76	N/A
4/30/2018	476	45	N/A	75	N/A
1/31/2018	454	40	N/A	74	N/A
10/31/2017	450	39	N/A	71	N/A
7/31/2017	445	38	N/A	67	N/A
4/30/2017	436	36	N/A	61	N/A
1/31/2017	426	34	N/A	55	N/A
10/31/2016	426	34	N/A	62	N/A
7/31/2016	426	34	N/A	69	N/A
4/30/2016	426	33	N/A	64	N/A
1/31/2016	426	32	N/A	60	N/A
10/31/2015	418	26	N/A	45	N/A
7/31/2015	409	20	N/A	30	N/A
4/30/2015	407	25	N/A	36	N/A
1/31/2015	405	29	N/A	41	N/A
10/31/2014	399	36	N/A	36	N/A
7/31/2014	393	42	N/A	31	N/A
4/30/2014	389	44	N/A	33	N/A
1/31/2014	386	45	N/A	35	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: KMD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: KMD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: KMD is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: KMD's revenue (4.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: KMD's revenue (4.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: KMD's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/19 15:40
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings	2024/07/31
Annual Earnings	2024/07/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

KMD Brands Limited is covered by 24 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	APP Securities Pty Ltd.
Sam Haddad	Bell Potter
Allan Franklin	Canaccord Genuity

KMD Brands Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

KMD Brands Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ending 31 July 2023

KMD Brands Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending 31 July 2022

Kathmandu Holdings Limited Provides Sales Guidance for the First Half of Fiscal Year 2022

Kathmandu Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Half of Fiscal Year 2022

Recent updates

KMD Brands Limited Announces Chief Executive Officer of Rip Curl Brand Changes

Full year 2024 earnings released: NZ$0.07 loss per share (vs NZ$0.049 profit in FY 2023)

KMD Brands Limited, Annual General Meeting, Sep 20, 2024

KMD Brands Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Sep 25, 2024

First half 2024 earnings released: NZ$0.015 loss per share (vs NZ$0.019 profit in 1H 2023)

Now 22% overvalued

KMD Brands Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Mar 19, 2024

KMD Brands Limited Announces Executive Changes

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought AU$167k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.03 per share at 7.1% yield

KMD Brands Limited Announces Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Ended July 31, 2023, Payable on October 20, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.049 (vs NZ$0.051 in FY 2022)

KMD Brands Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Sep 20, 2023

KMD Brands Limited, Annual General Meeting, Sep 11, 2023

KMD Brands Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ending 31 July 2023

KMD Brands Limited Announces Resignation of Chris Kinraid as Group Chief Financial Officer, Effective from December 2023

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.03 per share at 5.6% yield

KMD Brands Limited Appoints Megan Welch as Chief Executive Officer of Kathmandu, Effective from August 7, 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.019 (vs NZ$0.008 loss in 1H 2022)

KMD Brands Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Mar 22, 2023

KMD Brands Limited Announces Management Changes, Effective December 1, 2022

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.03 per share

KMD Brands Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 16, 2022

Insider recently bought AU$60k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings released

KMD Brands Limited to Declare Ordinary Dividend for the six months ended July 31, 2022, Payable on November 25, 2022

KMD Brands Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Sep 20, 2022

KMD Brands Limited Announces CEO Changes at Kathmandu Brand

KMD Brands Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending 31 July 2022

KMD Brands Limited Announces Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Ended January 31, 2022, Payable on June 30, 2022

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.03 per share

KMD Brands Limited Announces Executive Changes

Kmd Brands Limited Announces Non-Executive Director, John Harvey, Will Retire from the Board, Effective 31 May 2022

Non-Executive Independent Director recently bought AU$63k worth of stock

Kathmandu Holdings Limited Provides Sales Guidance for the First Half of Fiscal Year 2022

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.03 per share

Insider recently bought AU$97k worth of stock

Kathmandu Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Half of Fiscal Year 2022

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS NZ$0.089 (vs NZ$0.017 in FY 2020)

Kathmandu Holdings Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended January 31, 2021, Payable on June 4, 2021

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.02 per share

Group CEO, MD & Executive Director Xavier Simonet has left the company

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS NZ$0.031 (vs NZ$0.026 in 1H 2020)

New 90-day low: AU$1.13

Kathmandu Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Mar 23, 2021

Non-Executive Independent Director recently bought AU$126k worth of stock

Kathmandu Holdings Limited Announces Resignation of Xavier Simonet as CEO

Kathmandu Holdings Limited Appoints PricewaterhouseCoopers as Auditors

New 90-day high: AU$1.22

New 90-day high: AU$1.21

Non-Executive Independent Director recently bought AU$61k worth of stock

Full year earnings released - EPS AU$0.017

New 90-day high: AU$1.20

Kathmandu Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Sep 23, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Industry and Sector Metrics

Analyst Sources