Stock Analysis

Universal Store Holdings' (ASX:UNI) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

ASX:UNI
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Universal Store Holdings Limited (ASX:UNI) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to A$0.08 on the 3rd of October. However, the dividend yield of 6.1% still remains in a typical range for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Universal Store Holdings

Universal Store Holdings' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Prior to this announcement, Universal Store Holdings' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 47.7%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 48% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

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ASX:UNI Historic Dividend August 28th 2023

Universal Store Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

The track record isn't the longest, but we are already seeing a bit of instability in the payments. Since 2021, the dividend has gone from A$0.10 total annually to A$0.22. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 48% a year over that time. Universal Store Holdings has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Universal Store Holdings has impressed us by growing EPS at 10% per year over the past three years. The company is paying a reasonable amount of earnings to shareholders, and is growing earnings at a decent rate so we think it could be a decent dividend stock.

We Really Like Universal Store Holdings' Dividend

It is generally not great to see the dividend being cut, but we don't think this should happen much if at all in the future given that Universal Store Holdings has the makings of a solid income stock moving forward. By reducing the dividend, pressure will be taken off the balance sheet, which could help the dividend to be consistent in the future. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Universal Store Holdings that investors should take into consideration. Is Universal Store Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.