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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Premier Investments Limited's (ASX:PMV) Low P/E
Premier Investments Limited's (ASX:PMV) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 32x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Premier Investments hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Premier Investments
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Premier Investments' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 5.3% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 4.5% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 16% per year, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Premier Investments' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
What We Can Learn From Premier Investments' P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Premier Investments' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Premier Investments, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Premier Investments, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:PMV
Premier Investments
Operates various specialty retail fashion chains in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and Europe.
6 star dividend payer with excellent balance sheet.