David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Premier Investments Limited (ASX:PMV) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out the opportunities and risks within the AU Specialty Retail industry.
What Is Premier Investments's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Premier Investments had AU$69.0m of debt in July 2022, down from AU$147.6m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds AU$481.7m in cash, so it actually has AU$412.7m net cash.
A Look At Premier Investments' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Premier Investments had liabilities of AU$394.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$232.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$481.7m and AU$11.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$134.5m.
Of course, Premier Investments has a market capitalization of AU$3.69b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Premier Investments boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Premier Investments's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Premier Investments's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Premier Investments has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Premier Investments actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Premier Investments's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of AU$412.7m. The cherry on top was that in converted 127% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in AU$347m. So we don't think Premier Investments's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Premier Investments you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:PMV
Premier Investments
Operates various specialty retail fashion chains in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and Europe.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.