Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Jumping Onto AuMake Limited (ASX:AUK) Even Though It's 29% Cheaper

ASX:AUK
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AuMake Limited (ASX:AUK) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 29% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 25% in the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about AuMake's P/S ratio of 0.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Specialty Retail industry in Australia is also close to 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for AuMake

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:AUK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 26th 2024

How Has AuMake Performed Recently?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for AuMake as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on AuMake will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on AuMake will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For AuMake?

AuMake's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 100% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of explosive growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 7.6% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that AuMake is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From AuMake's P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for AuMake looks to be in line with the rest of the Specialty Retail industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that AuMake currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with AuMake (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AuMake, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.