Stock Analysis

What Is Lifestyle Communities Limited's (ASX:LIC) Share Price Doing?

ASX:LIC
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Lifestyle Communities Limited (ASX:LIC), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ASX, rising to highs of AU$17.00 and falling to the lows of AU$14.18. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Lifestyle Communities' current trading price of AU$15.41 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Lifestyle Communities’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Lifestyle Communities

What Is Lifestyle Communities Worth?

According to my valuation model, Lifestyle Communities seems to be fairly priced at around 14.40% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Lifestyle Communities today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is A$13.47, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Lifestyle Communities’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from Lifestyle Communities?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:LIC Earnings and Revenue Growth June 29th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Lifestyle Communities' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 44%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in LIC’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on LIC, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Lifestyle Communities has 3 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.