Stock Analysis

Is PharmAust (ASX:PAA) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

ASX:NUZ
Source: Shutterstock

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So should PharmAust (ASX:PAA) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

View our latest analysis for PharmAust

Does PharmAust Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at December 2021, PharmAust had cash of AU$2.6m and such minimal debt that we can ignore it for the purposes of this analysis. Importantly, its cash burn was AU$1.5m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 21 months from December 2021. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:PAA Debt to Equity History May 30th 2022

How Well Is PharmAust Growing?

One thing for shareholders to keep front in mind is that PharmAust increased its cash burn by 206% in the last twelve months. While operating revenue was up over the same period, the 6.8% gain gives us scant comfort. In light of the above-mentioned, we're pretty wary of the trajectory the company seems to be on. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how PharmAust has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Easily Can PharmAust Raise Cash?

Given the trajectory of PharmAust's cash burn, many investors will already be thinking about how it might raise more cash in the future. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Since it has a market capitalisation of AU$29m, PharmAust's AU$1.5m in cash burn equates to about 5.1% of its market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

So, Should We Worry About PharmAust's Cash Burn?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought PharmAust's cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about PharmAust's situation. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 2 warning signs for PharmAust that you should be aware of before investing.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Neurizon Therapeutics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.