ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd's (ASX:ECS) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd (ASX:ECS) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Pharmaceuticals companies in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 8.6x and even P/S higher than 32x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for ECS Botanics Holdings
How ECS Botanics Holdings Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at ECS Botanics Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on ECS Botanics Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For ECS Botanics Holdings?
ECS Botanics Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.0% decrease to the company's top line. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, a stark contrast to the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it is now in decline.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 512% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why ECS Botanics Holdings' P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From ECS Botanics Holdings' P/S?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of ECS Botanics Holdings confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with ECS Botanics Holdings.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:ECS
ECS Botanics Holdings
Engages in the cultivation, manufacture, and sale of medicinal cannabis products in Northwest Victoria.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.