Stock Analysis

We're Hopeful That Botanix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:BOT) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

ASX:BOT
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So, the natural question for Botanix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:BOT) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

See our latest analysis for Botanix Pharmaceuticals

When Might Botanix Pharmaceuticals Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at June 2020, Botanix Pharmaceuticals had cash of AU$25m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was AU$17m. That means it had a cash runway of around 17 months as of June 2020. Importantly, though, the one analyst we see covering the stock thinks that Botanix Pharmaceuticals will reach cashflow breakeven before then. If that happens, then the length of its cash runway, today, would become a moot point. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:BOT Debt to Equity History November 30th 2020

How Well Is Botanix Pharmaceuticals Growing?

Some investors might find it troubling that Botanix Pharmaceuticals is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 32% in the last year. But looking on the bright side, its revenue gained by 61%, lending some credence to the growth narrative. The company needs to keep up that growth, if it is to really please shareholders. It seems to be growing nicely. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Easily Can Botanix Pharmaceuticals Raise Cash?

Even though it seems like Botanix Pharmaceuticals is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Botanix Pharmaceuticals has a market capitalisation of AU$136m and burnt through AU$17m last year, which is 13% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

Is Botanix Pharmaceuticals' Cash Burn A Worry?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Botanix Pharmaceuticals' cash burn. For example, we think its revenue growth suggests that the company is on a good path. Although its increasing cash burn does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. There's no doubt that shareholders can take a lot of heart from the fact that at least one analyst is forecasting it will reach breakeven before too long. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 1 warning sign for Botanix Pharmaceuticals that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

Of course Botanix Pharmaceuticals may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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