Stock Analysis

The three-year returns have been enviable for Botanix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:BOT) shareholders despite underlying losses increasing

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ASX:BOT

Generally speaking, investors are inspired to be stock pickers by the potential to find the big winners. But when you hold the right stock for the right time period, the rewards can be truly huge. One bright shining star stock has been Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (ASX:BOT), which is 473% higher than three years ago. It's even up 11% in the last week.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Botanix Pharmaceuticals investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.

See our latest analysis for Botanix Pharmaceuticals

Botanix Pharmaceuticals isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last 3 years Botanix Pharmaceuticals saw its revenue shrink by 24% per year. This is in stark contrast to the strong share price growth of 79%, compound, per year. There can be no doubt this kind of decoupling of revenue growth and share price growth is unusual to see in loss making companies. At the risk of upsetting holders, this does suggest that hope for a better future is playing a significant role in the share price action.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

ASX:BOT Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Botanix Pharmaceuticals shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 163% over the last year. That's better than the annualised return of 25% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Botanix Pharmaceuticals better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Botanix Pharmaceuticals that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Botanix Pharmaceuticals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.