There's Reason For Concern Over Seven West Media Limited's (ASX:SWM) Price
There wouldn't be many who think Seven West Media Limited's (ASX:SWM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Media industry in Australia is similar at about 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Seven West Media
How Seven West Media Has Been Performing
Seven West Media could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Keen to find out how analysts think Seven West Media's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start .Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Seven West Media?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Seven West Media would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.9%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 5.6% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 0.05% each year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 2.8% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Seven West Media's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Seven West Media's P/S Mean For Investors?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
When you consider that Seven West Media's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
Having said that, be aware Seven West Media is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is significant.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:SWM
Seven West Media
Engages in the free to air television broadcasting and digital streaming in Australia and internationally.
Good value with moderate growth potential.
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