Stock Analysis

Hipages Group Holdings (ASX:HPG shareholders incur further losses as stock declines 10% this week, taking one-year losses to 41%

ASX:HPG
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The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Investors in Hipages Group Holdings Limited (ASX:HPG) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 41%. That contrasts poorly with the market decline of 1.4%. We wouldn't rush to judgement on Hipages Group Holdings because we don't have a long term history to look at. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 19% in thirty days.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Hipages Group Holdings isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Hipages Group Holdings

Hipages Group Holdings isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

In the last year Hipages Group Holdings saw its revenue grow by 9.1%. While that may seem decent it isn't great considering the company is still making a loss. Given this lacklustre revenue growth, the share price drop of 41% seems pretty appropriate. It's important not to lose sight of the fact that profitless companies must grow. But if you buy a loss making company then you could become a loss making investor.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:HPG Earnings and Revenue Growth June 1st 2023

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

Given that the market gained 1.4% in the last year, Hipages Group Holdings shareholders might be miffed that they lost 41%. While the aim is to do better than that, it's worth recalling that even great long-term investments sometimes underperform for a year or more. The share price decline has continued throughout the most recent three months, down 14%, suggesting an absence of enthusiasm from investors. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we'd remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hipages Group Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course Hipages Group Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether hipages Group Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.