Sayona Mining Limited

CHIA:SYA Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$329.4m

Sayona Mining Valuation

Is SYA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SYA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SYA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SYA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SYA?

Key metric: As SYA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SYA. This is calculated by dividing SYA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SYA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.6x
SalesAU$200.87m
Market CapAU$329.39m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SYA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SYA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.1x
DDH DDH1
0.6x2.6%AU$331.8m
A1M AIC Mines
1x15.4%AU$184.2m
PYX PYX Resources
6.8x64.1%AU$233.0m
PRG PRL Global
0.1xn/aAU$139.0m
SYA Sayona Mining
1.6x5.1%AU$329.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SYA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SYA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

125 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.62.4x3.0%
SYA Sayona Mining
 1.6x5.1%US$214.03m
BHP BHP Group
2.4x-3.1%US$132.13b
FMG Fortescue
2.1x-5.6%US$37.39b
SYA 1.6xIndustry Avg. 62.4xNo. of Companies124PS020406080100+
125 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.62.4x10.6%
SYA Sayona Mining
 1.6xn/aUS$214.03m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SYA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (61.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SYA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SYA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.6x
Fair PS Ratio15.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SYA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SYA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.033
AU$0.08
+146.2%
50.0%AU$0.12AU$0.04n/a2
Nov ’25AU$0.033
AU$0.062
+86.9%
67.6%AU$0.12AU$0.025n/a3
Oct ’25AU$0.034
AU$0.075
+123.9%
72.0%AU$0.15AU$0.025n/a3
Sep ’25AU$0.027
AU$0.077
+184.0%
68.5%AU$0.15AU$0.03n/a3
Aug ’25AU$0.03
AU$0.08
+162.3%
62.1%AU$0.15AU$0.04n/a3
Jul ’25AU$0.034
AU$0.083
+145.1%
57.4%AU$0.15AU$0.04n/a3
Jun ’25AU$0.043
AU$0.083
+93.8%
57.4%AU$0.15AU$0.04n/a3
May ’25AU$0.033
AU$0.083
+156.4%
57.4%AU$0.15AU$0.04n/a3
Apr ’25AU$0.038
AU$0.083
+116.4%
57.4%AU$0.15AU$0.04n/a3
Mar ’25AU$0.045
AU$0.083
+85.2%
57.4%AU$0.15AU$0.04n/a3
Feb ’25AU$0.038
AU$0.10
+159.7%
71.2%AU$0.20AU$0.04n/a3
Jan ’25AU$0.071
AU$0.17
+139.4%
33.6%AU$0.22AU$0.09n/a3
Dec ’24AU$0.063
AU$0.20
+214.7%
10.4%AU$0.22AU$0.17n/a3
Nov ’24AU$0.071
AU$0.20
+175.1%
10.4%AU$0.22AU$0.17AU$0.0333
Oct ’24AU$0.092
AU$0.23
+150.0%
12.3%AU$0.25AU$0.19AU$0.0343
Sep ’24AU$0.12
AU$0.25
+117.4%
16.3%AU$0.30AU$0.20AU$0.0273
Aug ’24AU$0.15
AU$0.27
+77.0%
11.1%AU$0.30AU$0.24AU$0.032
Jul ’24AU$0.17
AU$0.28
+57.1%
12.7%AU$0.31AU$0.24AU$0.0342
Jun ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.28
+55.6%
10.7%AU$0.31AU$0.25AU$0.0432
Apr ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.29
+56.8%
3.4%AU$0.30AU$0.28AU$0.0382

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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