Sovereign Metals Limited

CHIA:SVM Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$464.9m

Sovereign Metals Valuation

Is SVM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SVM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SVM's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SVM's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SVM?

Key metric: As SVM is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for SVM. This is calculated by dividing SVM's market cap by their current book value.
What is SVM's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio13.5x
BookAU$34.36m
Market CapAU$464.91m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does SVM's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for SVM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
LRS Latin Resources
4.7x-32.1%AU$490.2m
INR ioneer
1.4x-16.5%AU$482.9m
CHN Chalice Mining
3.3x8.5%AU$531.0m
DVP Develop Global
1.5x95.4%AU$545.6m
SVM Sovereign Metals
13.5x-11.9%AU$464.9m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: SVM is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (13.5x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does SVM's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAS Hastings Technology Metals
0.2x12.6%US$32.94m
JRV Jervois Global
0.1xn/aUS$21.10m
ADN Andromeda Metals
0.2x25.5%US$15.60m
CTO Citigold
0.1xn/aUS$7.81m
SVM 13.5xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies98PB00.81.62.43.24+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: SVM is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (13.5x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SVM's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SVM PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio13.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SVM's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SVM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.78
AU$1.24
+59.6%
34.5%AU$1.65AU$0.65n/a3
Nov ’25AU$0.82
AU$1.24
+49.9%
34.5%AU$1.65AU$0.65n/a3
Oct ’25AU$0.69
AU$1.24
+79.2%
34.5%AU$1.65AU$0.65n/a3
Sep ’25AU$0.60
AU$1.15
+90.1%
43.5%AU$1.65AU$0.65n/a2
Jul ’25AU$0.67
AU$1.21
+81.2%
36.9%AU$1.65AU$0.76n/a2
May ’25AU$0.48
AU$1.16
+138.1%
34.2%AU$1.55AU$0.76n/a2
Apr ’25AU$0.49
AU$1.16
+135.7%
34.2%AU$1.55AU$0.76n/a2
Feb ’25AU$0.43
AU$1.57
+265.1%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55n/a2
Jan ’25AU$0.46
AU$1.57
+245.1%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55n/a2
Dec ’24AU$0.43
AU$1.57
+265.1%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55n/a2
Nov ’24AU$0.44
AU$1.57
+256.8%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55AU$0.822
Oct ’24AU$0.41
AU$1.57
+282.9%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55AU$0.692
Sep ’24AU$0.46
AU$1.57
+245.1%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55AU$0.602
Aug ’24AU$0.52
AU$1.57
+204.9%
1.3%AU$1.59AU$1.55AU$0.672
Jul ’24AU$0.42
AU$1.62
+280.0%
2.2%AU$1.65AU$1.58AU$0.672
Jun ’24AU$0.41
AU$1.62
+298.8%
2.2%AU$1.65AU$1.58AU$0.652
May ’24AU$0.44
AU$1.62
+267.0%
2.2%AU$1.65AU$1.58AU$0.482
Apr ’24AU$0.43
AU$1.62
+271.3%
2.2%AU$1.65AU$1.58AU$0.492
Mar ’24AU$0.50
AU$1.58
+215.0%
4.8%AU$1.65AU$1.50AU$0.462
Feb ’24AU$0.52
AU$1.58
+205.8%
4.8%AU$1.65AU$1.50AU$0.432
Jan ’24AU$0.40
AU$1.59
+302.5%
3.8%AU$1.65AU$1.53AU$0.462
Dec ’23AU$0.43
AU$1.59
+265.5%
3.8%AU$1.65AU$1.53AU$0.432
Nov ’23AU$0.39
AU$1.59
+307.7%
3.8%AU$1.65AU$1.53AU$0.442

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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