Coronado Global Resources Valuation
Is CRN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
6/6Valuation Score 6/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CRN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CRN (A$0.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$9.67)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CRN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CRN?
Key metric: As CRN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is CRN's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.4x |
| Sales | US$2.62b |
| Market Cap | US$1.04b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 12.8x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does CRN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 2.8x | ||
DRR Deterra Royalties | 8.1x | -5.1% | AU$1.9b |
SGM Sims | 0.3x | 2.4% | AU$2.5b |
CIA Champion Iron | 1.6x | 4.4% | AU$2.8b |
VSL Vulcan Steel | 1x | 5.4% | AU$1.0b |
CRN Coronado Global Resources | 0.4x | 1.8% | AU$1.6b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CRN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (2.8x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does CRN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?
| 124 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 61.3x | 2.5% | |
CRN Coronado Global Resources | 0.4x | 1.8% | US$1.04b |
BHP BHP Group | 2.4x | -4.1% | US$132.76b |
FMG Fortescue | 1.9x | -5.6% | US$35.45b |
| 124 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 61.3x | 10.1% | |
CRN Coronado Global Resources | 0.4x | 68.4% | US$1.04b |
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CRN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (61.3x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CRN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.4x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.7x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CRN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | AU$0.95 | AU$1.41 +48.0% | 14.4% | AU$1.70 | AU$1.06 | n/a | 10 |
| Nov ’25 | AU$1.02 | AU$1.40 +37.3% | 14.2% | AU$1.68 | AU$1.05 | n/a | 10 |
| Oct ’25 | AU$1.19 | AU$1.59 +33.5% | 12.7% | AU$1.82 | AU$1.21 | n/a | 10 |
| Sep ’25 | AU$1.19 | AU$1.72 +44.5% | 13.6% | AU$2.12 | AU$1.42 | n/a | 11 |
| Aug ’25 | AU$1.44 | AU$1.80 +24.9% | 13.5% | AU$2.22 | AU$1.49 | n/a | 11 |
| Jul ’25 | AU$1.29 | AU$1.65 +28.0% | 15.0% | AU$2.18 | AU$1.35 | n/a | 11 |
| Jun ’25 | AU$1.12 | AU$1.61 +44.7% | 14.8% | AU$2.20 | AU$1.28 | n/a | 11 |
| May ’25 | AU$1.14 | AU$1.67 +46.1% | 16.6% | AU$2.20 | AU$1.30 | n/a | 11 |
| Apr ’25 | AU$1.25 | AU$1.83 +46.7% | 15.3% | AU$2.32 | AU$1.42 | n/a | 11 |
| Mar ’25 | AU$1.41 | AU$1.88 +33.1% | 15.6% | AU$2.33 | AU$1.41 | n/a | 11 |
| Feb ’25 | AU$1.59 | AU$2.00 +26.2% | 12.7% | AU$2.49 | AU$1.55 | n/a | 10 |
| Jan ’25 | AU$1.76 | AU$1.98 +12.6% | 14.4% | AU$2.46 | AU$1.36 | n/a | 10 |
| Dec ’24 | AU$1.67 | AU$1.95 +17.3% | 12.0% | AU$2.31 | AU$1.38 | n/a | 10 |
| Nov ’24 | AU$1.70 | AU$2.01 +18.2% | 7.9% | AU$2.29 | AU$1.70 | AU$1.02 | 10 |
| Oct ’24 | AU$1.95 | AU$2.10 +7.8% | 12.3% | AU$2.59 | AU$1.70 | AU$1.19 | 10 |
| Sep ’24 | AU$1.64 | AU$2.03 +23.9% | 9.3% | AU$2.31 | AU$1.70 | AU$1.19 | 10 |
| Aug ’24 | AU$1.68 | AU$2.09 +24.9% | 12.2% | AU$2.50 | AU$1.62 | AU$1.44 | 10 |
| Jul ’24 | AU$1.54 | AU$2.08 +35.5% | 12.6% | AU$2.49 | AU$1.54 | AU$1.29 | 11 |
| Jun ’24 | AU$1.31 | AU$2.12 +62.7% | 13.2% | AU$2.53 | AU$1.55 | AU$1.12 | 10 |
| May ’24 | AU$1.67 | AU$2.13 +27.5% | 13.3% | AU$2.54 | AU$1.55 | AU$1.14 | 10 |
| Apr ’24 | AU$1.63 | AU$2.20 +35.2% | 11.1% | AU$2.51 | AU$1.69 | AU$1.25 | 10 |
| Mar ’24 | AU$1.88 | AU$2.24 +19.2% | 9.2% | AU$2.60 | AU$1.85 | AU$1.41 | 9 |
| Feb ’24 | AU$2.06 | AU$2.21 +7.1% | 13.0% | AU$2.68 | AU$1.53 | AU$1.59 | 9 |
| Jan ’24 | AU$1.99 | AU$2.25 +13.3% | 13.3% | AU$2.80 | AU$1.61 | AU$1.76 | 9 |
| Dec ’23 | AU$2.09 | AU$2.31 +10.6% | 16.3% | AU$3.16 | AU$1.63 | AU$1.67 | 9 |
| Nov ’23 | AU$1.93 | AU$2.31 +19.9% | 17.7% | AU$3.30 | AU$1.70 | AU$1.70 | 9 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
Discover undervalued companies
Nufarm
AU$1.6b
Develops, manufactures, and sells crop protection solutions and seed technologies in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, and the Asia Pacific.
NUF
AU$4.16
7D
11.8%
1Y
-9.2%
Aurelia Metals
AU$296.0m
Engages in the exploration and production of mineral properties in Australia.
AMI
AU$0.17
7D
0%
1Y
52.2%
Capral
AU$158.6m
Manufactures, markets, and distributes fabricated and semi-fabricated aluminum related products in Australia.
CAA
AU$9.16
7D
-2.0%
1Y
4.6%