Incitec Pivot Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Incitec Pivot is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 63.5% and 0.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 49.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.3% in 3 years.

Key information

63.5%

Earnings growth rate

49.8%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth	36.8%
Revenue growth rate	0.7%
Future return on equity	9.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	12 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:IPL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
9/30/2027	5,514	438	494	771	11
9/30/2026	5,431	380	458	752	13
9/30/2025	5,414	336	145	415	14
9/30/2024	5,343	-478	-88	290	N/A
6/30/2024	5,283	-310	-1	413	N/A
3/31/2024	5,224	-142	87	535	N/A
12/31/2023	5,334	67	146	618	N/A
9/30/2023	5,444	277	206	701	N/A
3/31/2023	5,953	488	820	1,320	N/A
12/31/2022	5,755	569	740	1,207	N/A
9/30/2022	5,556	649	659	1,093	N/A
6/30/2022	5,504	660	488	884	N/A
3/31/2022	4,875	402	316	674	N/A
12/31/2021	4,627	276	306	662	N/A
9/30/2021	4,380	149	295	650	N/A
6/30/2021	4,115	122	151	470	N/A
3/31/2021	3,849	95	8	290	N/A
12/31/2020	3,915	109	137	418	N/A
9/30/2020	3,980	123	267	545	N/A
6/30/2020	4,026	149	269	573	N/A
3/31/2020	4,072	175	271	602	N/A
12/31/2019	4,016	164	169	508	N/A
9/30/2019	3,960	152	67	415	N/A
6/30/2019	3,955	197	237	591	N/A
3/31/2019	3,951	242	407	766	N/A
12/31/2018	3,922	225	372	715	N/A
9/30/2018	3,892	208	337	663	N/A
6/30/2018	3,772	191	N/A	637	N/A
3/31/2018	3,651	174	N/A	610	N/A
12/31/2017	3,574	246	N/A	629	N/A
9/30/2017	3,497	319	N/A	648	N/A
6/30/2017	3,442	284	N/A	594	N/A
3/31/2017	3,388	249	N/A	540	N/A
12/31/2016	3,383	188	N/A	558	N/A
9/30/2016	3,378	128	N/A	575	N/A
6/30/2016	3,493	206	N/A	625	N/A
3/31/2016	3,609	284	N/A	674	N/A
12/31/2015	3,645	341	N/A	715	N/A
9/30/2015	3,682	399	N/A	756	N/A
6/30/2015	3,573	338	N/A	674	N/A
3/31/2015	3,465	278	N/A	592	N/A
12/31/2014	3,421	262	N/A	563	N/A
9/30/2014	3,378	247	N/A	535	N/A
6/30/2014	3,445	311	N/A	587	N/A
3/31/2014	3,512	375	N/A	639	N/A
12/31/2013	3,471	371	N/A	627	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: IPL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: IPL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: IPL is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: IPL's revenue (0.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: IPL's revenue (0.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: IPL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.3%).

Incitec Pivot Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Incitec Pivot Limited Updates on Waggaman Ammonia Plant

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Incident at Waggaman Ammonia Plant

Incitec Pivot Limited Recommences Operations by Mid-March

Incitec Pivot Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Half, Second Half and for the Full Year of 2021

Recent updates

Incitec Pivot Limited (ASX:IPL) announces an Equity Buyback for AUD 400 million worth of its shares.

Dividend of AU$0.063 announced

Jarden Reportedly Tapped for Incitec Pivot Fertiliser Sale

Incitec Pivot to Revive Fertiliser Business Sale Campaign

Full year 2024 earnings released: AU$0.25 loss per share (vs AU$0.14 profit in FY 2023)

PEP Reportedly May Look at Incitec Pivot Arm

BGH Capital Reportedly Eyes to Acquire Fertiliser Unit of Incitec Pivot

Paul Victor to Leave the Incitec Pivot Limited as Chief Financial Officer, Effective 15 February 2025

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces the Appointment of Fiona Hick as an Independent Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 September 2024

Incitec Pivot Ltd Ceases Negotiations for Sale of Fertilisers Business

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.043 per share

Incitec Pivot Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Nov 11, 2024

Dividend of AU$0.043 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: AU$0.15 loss per share (vs AU$0.066 profit in 1H 2023)

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Resignation of Xiaoling Liu as Non-Executive Director, Effective 31 May 2024

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Special Dividend, Payable on February 8, 2024

Incitec Pivot Limited, Annual General Meeting, Dec 19, 2024

Incitec Pivot Limited Appoints Mauro Neves de Moraes as Managing Director, Effective 22 January, 2024

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) completed the acquisition of Ammonia Production Facility and Business in Waggaman, Louisiana of from Incitec Pivot Limited (ASX:IPL).

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) completed the acquisition of Ammonia Production Facility and Business in Waggaman, Louisiana of from Incitec Pivot Limited (ASX:IPL).

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.05 per share at 5.3% yield

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Board Changes

Incitec Pivot Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Final Results on Nov 20, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.14 (vs AU$0.52 in FY 2022)

Incitec Pivot Updates on Structural Separation of Fertilisers Business

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.10 per share at 9.5% yield

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Chief Executive Officer Changes

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended March 31, 2023, Payment Date of July 4, 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.066 (vs AU$0.20 in 1H 2022)

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued

Yara Reportedly Tipped to Buy Incitec's US Plant

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.17 per share

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Dividend for Six Months Ended September 30, 2022, Payable on December 21, 2022

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.52 (vs AU$0.077 in FY 2021)

Incitec Pivot Limited (ASX:IPL) announces an Equity Buyback for AUD 400 million worth of its shares.

Incitec Pivot Limited Appoints Chris Opperman as Chief Financial Officer Designate of the Proposed Standalone Incitec Pivot Fertilisers Business

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Appointment of Michael Carroll as Chairman Designate for Incitec Pivot Fertilisers

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought AU$143k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.10 per share

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.20 (vs AU$0.019 in 1H 2021)

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended March 31, 2022, Payment Date of 5/7/2022

Incitec Pivot Limited Provides Waggaman Plant Update

Incitec Pivot Limited Updates on Waggaman Ammonia Plant

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Incident at Waggaman Ammonia Plant

Incitec Pivot Limited (ASX:IPL) entered into an agreement to acquire Titanobel SAS for €91 million.

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.083 per share

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.077 (vs AU$0.071 in FY 2020)

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Ordinary Distribution for the Six Months Ended March 31, 2021, Payable on July 2, 2021

Incitec Pivot Limited Recommences Operations by Mid-March

Incitec Pivot Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Half, Second Half and for the Full Year of 2021

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$260k worth of stock

Incitec Pivot Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on May 17, 2021

New 90-day high: AU$2.51

New 90-day high: AU$2.21

Incitec Pivot Limited Announces Board Changes

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS AU$0.071

Revenue misses expectations

Incitec Pivot Limited Not to Pay Final Dividend for Fiscal 2020

IncitecPivot Ltd to Report Fiscal Year 2010 Results on 11/15/2010

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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