Bellevue Gold Limited

CHIA:BGL Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.4b

Bellevue Gold Valuation

Is BGL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BGL (A$1.06) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$7.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BGL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BGL?

Key metric: As BGL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BGL. This is calculated by dividing BGL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BGL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18x
EarningsAU$75.42m
Market CapAU$1.36b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BGL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BGL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.5x
GMD Genesis Minerals
36.1x22.8%AU$3.0b
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated
1.7x-13.3%AU$338.9m
EMR Emerald Resources
26.4x38.9%AU$2.2b
CYL Catalyst Metals
25.6x33.1%AU$603.4m
BGL Bellevue Gold
18x21.8%AU$1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the peer average (22.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BGL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated
1.7x-13.3%US$208.80m
RHI Red Hill Minerals
1.7xn/aUS$163.84m
GRR Grange Resources
2.3xn/aUS$158.66m
PTN Patronus Resources
1.9xn/aUS$51.02m
BGL 18.0xIndustry Avg. 11.9xNo. of Companies13PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (11.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BGL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BGL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18x
Fair PE Ratio21.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BGL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.06
AU$1.73
+63.7%
13.8%AU$2.10AU$1.35n/a8
Jan ’26AU$1.12
AU$1.79
+60.2%
15.9%AU$2.25AU$1.35n/a8
Dec ’25AU$1.29
AU$1.81
+40.7%
15.1%AU$2.25AU$1.35n/a6
Nov ’25AU$1.59
AU$1.81
+14.1%
15.1%AU$2.25AU$1.35n/a6
Oct ’25AU$1.33
AU$1.81
+36.8%
21.1%AU$2.54AU$1.25n/a7
Sep ’25AU$1.27
AU$1.93
+52.9%
19.6%AU$2.54AU$1.25n/a7
Aug ’25AU$1.40
AU$1.98
+41.3%
21.9%AU$2.54AU$1.25n/a5
Jul ’25AU$1.81
AU$2.23
+23.4%
9.2%AU$2.54AU$1.85n/a7
Jun ’25AU$1.95
AU$2.17
+11.5%
10.9%AU$2.54AU$1.85n/a6
May ’25AU$1.73
AU$2.12
+22.6%
10.3%AU$2.54AU$1.85n/a6
Apr ’25AU$1.88
AU$1.92
+2.1%
17.1%AU$2.54AU$1.45n/a6
Mar ’25AU$1.55
AU$1.71
+10.7%
9.5%AU$1.90AU$1.45n/a5
Feb ’25AU$1.29
AU$1.71
+33.1%
9.5%AU$1.90AU$1.45n/a5
Jan ’25AU$1.68
AU$1.77
+5.7%
12.1%AU$2.10AU$1.50AU$1.125
Dec ’24AU$1.73
AU$1.73
+0.3%
9.2%AU$1.90AU$1.50AU$1.295
Nov ’24AU$1.38
AU$1.71
+23.9%
10.7%AU$1.90AU$1.45AU$1.595
Oct ’24AU$1.39
AU$1.71
+23.0%
11.8%AU$1.90AU$1.40AU$1.335
Sep ’24AU$1.65
AU$1.61
-2.1%
10.1%AU$1.80AU$1.40AU$1.275
Aug ’24AU$1.49
AU$1.61
+8.4%
10.1%AU$1.80AU$1.40AU$1.405
Jul ’24AU$1.27
AU$1.54
+21.3%
8.8%AU$1.70AU$1.40AU$1.815
Jun ’24AU$1.33
AU$1.55
+16.8%
9.6%AU$1.75AU$1.40AU$1.955
May ’24AU$1.39
AU$1.56
+12.8%
10.5%AU$1.75AU$1.40AU$1.734
Apr ’24AU$1.28
AU$1.46
+14.3%
11.2%AU$1.70AU$1.25AU$1.884
Mar ’24AU$1.11
AU$1.44
+29.2%
9.0%AU$1.60AU$1.25AU$1.554
Feb ’24AU$1.15
AU$1.44
+25.0%
9.0%AU$1.60AU$1.25AU$1.294
Jan ’24AU$1.14
AU$1.36
+20.0%
4.8%AU$1.40AU$1.25AU$1.684

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 18:31
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Bellevue Gold Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel MorganBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Mollie UrquhartBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Bradley WatsonBell Potter