Alumina Limited

CHIA:AWC Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$4.2b

This company is no longer active

The company may no longer be operating, as it may be out of business. Find out why through their latest events.

Alumina Valuation

Is AWC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AWC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AWC (A$1.47) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$1.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AWC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AWC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AWC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue10381x
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does AWC's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for AWC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.9x
MMI Metro Mining
13.1x30.9%AU$285.9m
SMR Stanmore Resources
1x-16.8%AU$2.9b
EMR Emerald Resources
4.4x32.9%AU$2.5b
NIC Nickel Industries
1.1x49.7%AU$3.8b
AWC Alumina
2.1x31.4%AU$4.2b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: AWC is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.1x) compared to the peer average (9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AWC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.7%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.7%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: AWC is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.1x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AWC's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AWC PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio2.1x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AWC's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AWC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
AU$1.52
0%
13.0%AU$1.67AU$1.18n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
AU$1.52
0%
13.0%AU$1.67AU$1.18n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
AU$1.52
0%
13.0%AU$1.67AU$1.18n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
AU$1.52
0%
13.0%AU$1.67AU$1.18n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
AU$1.52
0%
13.0%AU$1.67AU$1.18n/a4
Jul ’25AU$1.69
AU$1.54
-9.0%
16.9%AU$2.00AU$1.17n/a6
Jun ’25AU$1.89
AU$1.47
-22.1%
18.1%AU$2.00AU$1.17n/a6
May ’25AU$1.54
AU$1.43
-6.9%
10.3%AU$1.60AU$1.20n/a6
Apr ’25AU$1.43
AU$1.24
-12.9%
7.2%AU$1.36AU$1.10n/a7
Mar ’25AU$1.10
AU$1.15
+4.8%
8.3%AU$1.36AU$1.05n/a7
Feb ’25AU$1.11
AU$1.18
+6.5%
12.3%AU$1.40AU$0.93n/a8
Jan ’25AU$0.91
AU$0.98
+7.8%
12.9%AU$1.11AU$0.78n/a8
Dec ’24AU$0.71
AU$1.01
+42.2%
17.9%AU$1.35AU$0.77n/a8
Nov ’24AU$0.78
AU$1.07
+37.5%
15.6%AU$1.40AU$0.80n/a8
Oct ’24AU$0.96
AU$1.19
+23.9%
13.9%AU$1.42AU$0.88n/a8
Sep ’24AU$1.07
AU$1.21
+12.8%
12.8%AU$1.46AU$0.96n/a8
Aug ’24AU$1.45
AU$1.33
-8.0%
12.2%AU$1.62AU$1.01n/a8
Jul ’24AU$1.39
AU$1.40
+1.2%
11.8%AU$1.67AU$1.10AU$1.698
Jun ’24AU$1.39
AU$1.45
+4.6%
12.1%AU$1.77AU$1.13AU$1.898
May ’24AU$1.53
AU$1.52
-0.2%
17.1%AU$2.10AU$1.11AU$1.5410
Apr ’24AU$1.46
AU$1.52
+4.2%
16.7%AU$2.06AU$1.10AU$1.4310
Mar ’24AU$1.52
AU$1.52
-0.1%
18.0%AU$2.04AU$1.02AU$1.1010
Feb ’24AU$1.63
AU$1.52
-6.6%
19.0%AU$2.03AU$0.98AU$1.1111
Jan ’24AU$1.52
AU$1.49
-2.2%
19.4%AU$1.99AU$1.01AU$0.9111
Dec ’23AU$1.58
AU$1.45
-8.2%
20.0%AU$1.98AU$0.94AU$0.7111
Nov ’23AU$1.39
AU$1.49
+7.3%
20.6%AU$2.00AU$0.99AU$0.7811

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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