Aeris Resources Limited

CHIA:AIS Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$222.5m

Aeris Resources Valuation

Is AIS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AIS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AIS (A$0.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AIS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AIS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AIS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AIS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AIS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
AR1 Austral Resources Australia
0.8xn/aAU$84.3m
SFR Sandfire Resources
3.2x15.3%AU$3.9b
MMI Metro Mining
1.1x9.6%AU$267.3m
BIS Bisalloy Steel Group
1.3xn/aAU$192.2m
AIS Aeris Resources
0.4x-10.7%AU$222.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AIS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AIS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AIS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (76.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AIS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AIS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AIS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AIS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.23
AU$0.27
+18.9%
12.8%AU$0.30AU$0.22n/a4
Jun ’25AU$0.28
AU$0.27
-2.7%
12.8%AU$0.30AU$0.22n/a4
May ’25AU$0.26
AU$0.24
-5.9%
16.4%AU$0.30AU$0.20n/a4
Apr ’25AU$0.15
AU$0.17
+8.1%
22.5%AU$0.23AU$0.13n/a4
Mar ’25AU$0.11
AU$0.17
+56.8%
25.4%AU$0.23AU$0.13n/a4
Feb ’25AU$0.10
AU$0.17
+72.5%
25.4%AU$0.23AU$0.13n/a4
Jan ’25AU$0.14
AU$0.18
+22.4%
22.3%AU$0.23AU$0.13n/a4
Dec ’24AU$0.12
AU$0.20
+69.6%
33.7%AU$0.30AU$0.13n/a4
Nov ’24AU$0.15
AU$0.45
+197.3%
88.3%AU$1.23AU$0.20n/a5
Oct ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.45
+145.4%
85.8%AU$1.23AU$0.20n/a5
Sep ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.46
+101.7%
82.7%AU$1.23AU$0.25n/a5
Aug ’24AU$0.38
AU$0.84
+123.5%
29.3%AU$1.23AU$0.55n/a5
Jul ’24AU$0.47
AU$0.86
+83.8%
25.0%AU$1.23AU$0.60n/a5
Jun ’24AU$0.45
AU$0.93
+106.7%
20.5%AU$1.23AU$0.70AU$0.284
May ’24AU$0.48
AU$1.03
+113.9%
14.1%AU$1.23AU$0.90AU$0.263
Apr ’24AU$0.67
AU$0.89
+32.8%
6.7%AU$0.95AU$0.83AU$0.152
Mar ’24AU$0.60
AU$0.88
+45.8%
5.1%AU$0.92AU$0.83AU$0.112
Feb ’24AU$0.67
AU$0.89
+32.8%
4.5%AU$0.93AU$0.85AU$0.102
Jan ’24AU$0.56
AU$0.86
+53.1%
7.5%AU$0.93AU$0.80AU$0.142
Dec ’23AU$0.56
AU$0.86
+54.5%
7.5%AU$0.93AU$0.80AU$0.122
Nov ’23AU$0.31
AU$0.86
+179.0%
7.5%AU$0.93AU$0.80AU$0.152
Oct ’23AU$0.42
AU$0.81
+94.0%
14.1%AU$0.93AU$0.70AU$0.182
Sep ’23AU$0.44
AU$0.81
+85.2%
14.1%AU$0.93AU$0.70AU$0.232
Aug ’23AU$0.46
AU$1.04
+128.6%
27.9%AU$1.33AU$0.75AU$0.382

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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