Stock Analysis

Westgold Resources Limited (ASX:WGX) Stock Catapults 28% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

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ASX:WGX

Westgold Resources Limited (ASX:WGX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 51%.

Although its price has surged higher, Westgold Resources may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 64.2x and even P/S higher than 305x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Westgold Resources

ASX:WGX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 4th 2024

What Does Westgold Resources' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for Westgold Resources as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Westgold Resources.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Westgold Resources' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.1%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 25% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 35% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 514% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Westgold Resources' P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Westgold Resources' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of Westgold Resources' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Westgold Resources that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Westgold Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.