Stock Analysis

Should You Think About Buying Wagners Holding Company Limited (ASX:WGN) Now?

ASX:WGN
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Wagners Holding Company Limited (ASX:WGN), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the ASX gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine Wagners Holding’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Wagners Holding

Is Wagners Holding still cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 4.78% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Wagners Holding today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth A$2.14, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Wagners Holding’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Wagners Holding look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:WGN Earnings and Revenue Growth May 17th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Wagners Holding. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? WGN’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on WGN, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Wagners Holding, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Wagners Holding is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is concerning...

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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