West African Resources Limited

ASX:WAF Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.7b

West African Resources Valuation

Is WAF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WAF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WAF (A$1.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$8.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WAF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WAF?

Key metric: As WAF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WAF. This is calculated by dividing WAF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WAF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.2x
EarningsAU$154.70m
Market CapAU$1.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WAF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WAF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.8x
RMS Ramelius Resources
11.9x-1.5%AU$2.6b
WGX Westgold Resources
31.4x35.4%AU$3.0b
GOR Gold Road Resources
22.3x21.5%AU$2.3b
RSG Resolute Mining
41.5x42.3%AU$830.3m
WAF West African Resources
11.2x28.6%AU$1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WAF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (26.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WAF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated
1.8x-13.3%US$223.19m
RHI Red Hill Minerals
1.8xn/aUS$176.55m
GRR Grange Resources
2.5xn/aUS$165.19m
PTN Patronus Resources
1.9xn/aUS$54.01m
WAF 11.2xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies13PE01224364860+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WAF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WAF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WAF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ratio25.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WAF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WAF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.52
AU$2.65
+74.3%
23.9%AU$3.70AU$2.10n/a4
Dec ’25AU$1.52
AU$2.60
+71.6%
25.9%AU$3.70AU$2.00n/a4
Nov ’25AU$1.82
AU$2.60
+43.3%
25.9%AU$3.70AU$2.00n/a4
Oct ’25AU$1.73
AU$2.30
+32.9%
24.3%AU$3.15AU$1.65n/a4
Sep ’25AU$1.43
AU$1.98
+38.7%
15.7%AU$2.40AU$1.65n/a3
Aug ’25AU$1.48
AU$1.98
+34.0%
15.7%AU$2.40AU$1.65n/a3
Jul ’25AU$1.59
AU$2.20
+38.4%
7.4%AU$2.40AU$2.00n/a3
Jun ’25AU$1.53
AU$2.00
+30.7%
16.3%AU$2.40AU$1.60n/a3
May ’25AU$1.28
AU$1.89
+48.0%
18.2%AU$2.40AU$1.55n/a4
Apr ’25AU$1.20
AU$1.71
+42.7%
11.7%AU$2.00AU$1.50n/a4
Mar ’25AU$0.90
AU$1.63
+80.6%
9.9%AU$1.80AU$1.40n/a4
Feb ’25AU$0.97
AU$1.58
+62.4%
7.9%AU$1.75AU$1.40n/a4
Jan ’25AU$0.94
AU$1.64
+73.3%
13.5%AU$2.00AU$1.40n/a4
Dec ’24AU$0.93
AU$1.55
+66.5%
16.2%AU$2.00AU$1.29AU$1.525
Nov ’24AU$0.74
AU$1.55
+107.8%
16.2%AU$2.00AU$1.29AU$1.825
Oct ’24AU$0.77
AU$1.58
+104.9%
14.8%AU$2.00AU$1.29AU$1.735
Sep ’24AU$0.85
AU$1.58
+85.6%
14.8%AU$2.00AU$1.29AU$1.435
Aug ’24AU$0.90
AU$1.58
+76.3%
14.8%AU$2.00AU$1.29AU$1.485
Jul ’24AU$0.86
AU$1.60
+84.7%
16.1%AU$2.00AU$1.29AU$1.594
Jun ’24AU$0.89
AU$1.61
+81.9%
15.8%AU$2.00AU$1.29AU$1.534
May ’24AU$0.96
AU$1.61
+67.7%
15.8%AU$2.00AU$1.29AU$1.284
Apr ’24AU$0.96
AU$1.67
+73.6%
7.5%AU$1.80AU$1.50AU$1.203
Mar ’24AU$0.94
AU$1.63
+73.8%
7.6%AU$1.80AU$1.50AU$0.903
Feb ’24AU$1.09
AU$1.63
+50.5%
7.6%AU$1.80AU$1.50AU$0.973
Jan ’24AU$1.18
AU$1.62
+37.6%
12.5%AU$1.90AU$1.45AU$0.943
Dec ’23AU$1.23
AU$1.62
+32.0%
12.5%AU$1.90AU$1.45AU$0.933

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/17 02:31
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

West African Resources Limited is covered by 13 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Duncan HughesBell Potter