West African Resources Limited

ASX:WAF Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$3.6b

West African Resources Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 6/6

West African Resources has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 20.9%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings growing at 15.2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 16.8% per year. West African Resources's return on equity is 32.3%, and it has net margins of 30.7%.

Key information

20.94%

Earnings growth rate

14.92%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining Industry Growth22.33%
Revenue growth rate16.79%
Return on equity32.27%
Net Margin30.71%
Last Earnings Update31 Dec 2025

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 15

WAF: Speculative Upside Will Depend On Sustained High Margin Gold Output

Analysts have held their A$ fair value estimate steady for West African Resources while fine tuning inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. This reflects refreshed views on the stock's risk profile and earnings power without a change to the overall price target.
Narrative Update May 31

WAF: Speculative Buy Thesis Will Rely On Sustained Profit Margin Execution

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for West African Resources at A$4.00 per share, incorporating updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that together support an unchanged price target level. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$4.00 per share is unchanged, with no adjustment to the overall fair value estimate.
Narrative Update May 12

WAF: Speculative Buy Thesis Will Rely On Sustained Profit Margin Execution

Analysts have trimmed their price target on West African Resources to A$4.00 from A$4.50, citing updated assumptions that include slightly higher discount rates, revised revenue growth expectations, stronger profit margin forecasts, and a lower future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced from A$4.50 to A$4.00 per share, implying a slightly lower central valuation estimate.
Narrative Update Apr 20

WAF: Speculative Buy Thesis Will Depend On Sustained Margin Execution

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for West African Resources from A$4.70 to A$4.50, citing tempered revenue growth assumptions and slightly higher discount rates, partly offset by expectations for stronger profit margins and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent fair value adjustments suggest analysts are rebalancing enthusiasm with a more measured view of the risk and reward on offer for West African Resources.
Narrative Update Apr 06

WAF: Speculative Buy Rating Will Rely On Future Project Execution

Analysts have nudged their price target for West African Resources up from A$5.70 to A$5.85, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E following the recent resumption of coverage at Speculative Buy by the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage frames the updated A$5.85 price target as part of a constructive view on how West African Resources is positioned, with bullish analysts focusing on the balance between valuation assumptions, revenue potential and profit margins.
Narrative Update Mar 23

WAF: Resumed Speculative Buy Coverage Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their A$ price target on West African Resources, citing updated assumptions that now pair more moderate revenue growth expectations with higher projected profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E multiple following fresh Street research coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage points to a more constructive stance on West African Resources, with bullish analysts highlighting a mix of valuation support and execution potential as key reasons for lifting price targets.
Narrative Update Mar 08

WAF: Speculative Buy Stance Will Rely On Execution To Unlock Upside

Analysts have lifted their A$ price target on West African Resources to A$4.70, with the change underpinned by slightly higher assumed revenue growth, a small improvement in forecast profit margins and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary While the higher A$ price target points to a more constructive stance overall, some bearish analysts are still flagging key risks that they feel are not fully reflected in the current valuation.
Narrative Update Feb 22

WAF: Speculative Buy Stance Will Support Higher Fair Value Despite Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for West African Resources from A$3.20 to A$4.70, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent Speculative Buy research coverage. Analyst Commentary Analysts lifting their fair value estimate to A$4.70 reflects updated assumptions around revenue, margins and P/E settings, but not everyone is leaning in the same direction.
Narrative Update Feb 08

WAF: Higher Fair Value And Resumed Coverage Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for West African Resources from A$5.00 to A$5.70, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that are reflected in recent Street research that has resumed coverage on the name. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has resumed coverage on West African Resources, with bullish analysts framing the new A$5.70 fair value estimate as a reflection of updated expectations around revenue, margins and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Jan 25

WAF: Higher Required Returns Will Confront Rich Multiple Despite Stronger Margins

Analysts have lifted their price target on West African Resources to A$3.20. The update reflects adjusted assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping fair value essentially aligned with prior estimates.
Analysis Article Jan 20

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From West African Resources Limited's (ASX:WAF) 28% Share Price Climb

West African Resources Limited ( ASX:WAF ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...
Narrative Update Jan 10

WAF: Higher Required Returns Will Meet Stronger Margins And Lower P E Multiple

Analysts have reduced their price target on West African Resources from A$3.40 to A$3.20, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple in their valuation work. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate adjusted from A$3.40 to A$3.20, in line with the revised price target.
Narrative Update Dec 27

WAF: Future Returns Will Improve With Strong Margins And Supportive Earnings Multiple

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for West African Resources to approximately A$3.97 from A$3.80, reflecting slightly stronger expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future earnings multiples, despite a marginally higher discount rate. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from A$3.80 to approximately A$3.97 per share.
Narrative Update Dec 13

WAF Stronger Margins And Lower Earnings Multiple Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on West African Resources from A$5.00 to A$5.50, citing expectations of stronger revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a more attractive forward earnings multiple. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate remained unchanged at A$5.00 per share, indicating no revision to the intrinsic value assessment.
Narrative Update Nov 29

WAF: Future Profitability Will Strengthen With Steady Margins And Lower P/E

Analysts have lowered their price target for West African Resources from $4.00 to $3.80 per share, citing slight adjustments to discount rate and valuation assumptions. Valuation Changes Fair Value per share has decreased modestly from A$4.00 to A$3.80.
Narrative Update Nov 15

WAF: Future Profitability Is Expected To Strengthen Despite Lower Growth

Narrative Update: Analyst Price Target Change for West African Resources Analysts have increased their price target for West African Resources from $4.00 to $4.00, citing adjustments to growth forecasts and updated profitability expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value remains unchanged at A$4.00.
Narrative Update Oct 31

WAF: Revenue Acceleration Will Support Greater Production And Earnings Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target for West African Resources from $3.60 to $4.00. This reflects stronger revenue growth expectations, even though the profit margin outlook is more conservative.
Narrative Update Sep 26

Kiaka Gold And Sanbrado Transition Will Increase Long-Term Production

The downward revision in West African Resources’ consensus price target reflects modest declines in both revenue growth forecasts and net profit margin, resulting in a new fair value estimate of A$3.60. What's in the News Production guidance for full year 2025 reaffirmed, targeting 500,000 ounces per annum by 2030 from two unhedged gold operations in Burkina Faso.
Analysis Article Jun 16

Is West African Resources (ASX:WAF) Using Too Much Debt?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Mar 06

West African Resources (ASX:WAF) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Mar 06

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By West African Resources Limited's (ASX:WAF) Earnings Despite 26% Price Jump

West African Resources Limited ( ASX:WAF ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last...
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New Narrative Jan 27

Kiaka Project Will Begin Gold Production In Q3 2025

Completion and production ramp-up of the Kiaka project are set to significantly boost revenue and increase gold production efficiency.
Analysis Article Nov 06

The Market Lifts West African Resources Limited (ASX:WAF) Shares 28% But It Can Do More

West African Resources Limited ( ASX:WAF ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last...
Analysis Article Sep 18

Market Cool On West African Resources Limited's (ASX:WAF) Earnings

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Jun 28

A Look At The Fair Value Of West African Resources Limited (ASX:WAF)

Key Insights West African Resources' estimated fair value is AU$1.39 based on Dividend Discount Model With AU$1.61...
Analysis Article May 03

Is West African Resources (ASX:WAF) A Risky Investment?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Apr 10

West African Resources Limited's (ASX:WAF) Shares Leap 35% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

West African Resources Limited ( ASX:WAF ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 35% share price jump in...
Analysis Article Feb 05

Sentiment Still Eluding West African Resources Limited (ASX:WAF)

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Aug 30

West African Resources Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

It's been a good week for West African Resources Limited ( ASX:WAF ) shareholders, because the company has just...
Analysis Article Apr 14

Here's Why West African Resources (ASX:WAF) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Jan 13

With EPS Growth And More, West African Resources (ASX:WAF) Makes An Interesting Case

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How West African Resources makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

ASX:WAF Revenue, expenses and earnings (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Dec 251,543474270
30 Sep 251,203401240
30 Jun 25863327210
31 Mar 25796276190
31 Dec 24730224170
30 Sep 24713189170
30 Jun 24696155170
31 Mar 24679151170
31 Dec 23661147160
30 Sep 23628145150
30 Jun 23596144140
31 Mar 23602154140
31 Dec 22608164150
30 Sep 22688191151
30 Jun 22768219151
31 Mar 22740204131
31 Dec 21712189111
30 Sep 21616170101
30 Jun 21519152100
31 Mar 21415121100
31 Dec 2031189100
30 Sep 201854690
30 Jun 2059280
31 Mar 2030-180
31 Dec 191-470
31 Dec 181-770
30 Sep 181-22230
30 Jun 180-25260
31 Mar 180-23230
31 Dec 170-22200
30 Sep 170-16160
30 Jun 170-14140
31 Mar 170-13130
31 Dec 160-10100
30 Sep 160-990
30 Jun 160-870
31 Mar 160-760
31 Dec 150-760
30 Sep 150-880
30 Jun 150-880

Quality Earnings: WAF has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: WAF's current net profit margins (30.7%) are higher than last year (30.7%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: WAF's earnings have grown significantly by 20.9% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: WAF's earnings growth over the past year (111.8%) exceeds its 5-year average (20.9% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: WAF earnings growth over the past year (111.8%) exceeded the Metals and Mining industry 59.9%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: WAF's Return on Equity (32.3%) is considered high.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/16 01:11
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/16 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

West African Resources Limited is covered by 14 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard GrayATB Cormark
Taylor GuyotBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Nicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited