Stock Analysis

Investors Give Vulcan Energy Resources Limited (ASX:VUL) Shares A 29% Hiding

ASX:VUL
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The Vulcan Energy Resources Limited (ASX:VUL) share price has softened a substantial 29% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

Following the heavy fall in price, Vulcan Energy Resources may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 17.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 75.3x and even P/S higher than 499x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Vulcan Energy Resources

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:VUL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 24th 2024

How Has Vulcan Energy Resources Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Vulcan Energy Resources as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Vulcan Energy Resources' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Vulcan Energy Resources' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 112%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 79% per annum over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 71% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Vulcan Energy Resources' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Vulcan Energy Resources' P/S?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Vulcan Energy Resources' share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

To us, it seems Vulcan Energy Resources currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Vulcan Energy Resources, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.