Stock Analysis

Talga Group Ltd (ASX:TLG): Are Analysts Optimistic?

ASX:TLG
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With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at Talga Group Ltd's (ASX:TLG) future prospects. Talga Group Ltd, a battery anode and advanced materials company, engages in the exploration, development, and commercialization of battery anode products, conductive additives, and graphitic materials in Australia, Sweden, Germany, and the United Kingdom. On 30 June 2023, the AU$291m market-cap company posted a loss of AU$43m for its most recent financial year. Many investors are wondering about the rate at which Talga Group will turn a profit, with the big question being “when will the company breakeven?” Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts’ expectations for the company.

See our latest analysis for Talga Group

According to the 3 industry analysts covering Talga Group, the consensus is that breakeven is near. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2025, before generating positive profits of AU$64m in 2026. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly 2 years from today. In order to meet this breakeven date, we calculated the rate at which the company must grow year-on-year. It turns out an average annual growth rate of 66% is expected, which signals high confidence from analysts. Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:TLG Earnings Per Share Growth February 19th 2024

Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Talga Group's upcoming projects, though, take into account that typically metals and mining companies, depending on the stage of operation and metals mined, have irregular periods of cash flow. This means, large upcoming growth rates are not abnormal as the company is beginning to reap the benefits of earlier investments.

Before we wrap up, there’s one aspect worth mentioning. Talga Group currently has no debt on its balance sheet, which is rare for a loss-making metals and mining company, which typically has high debt relative to its equity. The company currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.

Next Steps:

This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on Talga Group, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at Talga Group's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of essential aspects you should look at:

  1. Historical Track Record: What has Talga Group's performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Talga Group's board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Talga Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:TLG

Talga Group

Talga Group Ltd, a battery anode and advanced materials company, engages in the exploration, development, and commercialization of battery anode products, conductive additives, and graphitic materials in Australia, Sweden, Germany, and the United Kingdom.

High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.