Sayona Mining Limited

ASX:SYA Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$311.7m

Sayona Mining Valuation

Is SYA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SYA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SYA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SYA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SYA?

Key metric: As SYA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SYA. This is calculated by dividing SYA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SYA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.6x
SalesAU$200.87m
Market CapAU$311.67m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SYA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SYA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.9x
A1M AIC Mines
1.1x15.4%AU$195.7m
PYX PYX Resources
6.8x64.1%AU$233.0m
DDH DDH1
0.6x2.6%AU$331.8m
VYS Vysarn
2.9xn/aAU$222.5m
SYA Sayona Mining
1.6x2.7%AU$311.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SYA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SYA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

126 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.60.6x3.3%
SYA Sayona Mining
 1.6x2.7%US$193.74m
BHP BHP Group
2.2x-3.1%US$124.70b
FMG Fortescue
1.9x-5.5%US$34.90b
SYA 1.6xIndustry Avg. 60.6xNo. of Companies126PS020406080100+
126 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.60.6x10.6%
SYA Sayona Mining
 1.6x42.4%US$193.74m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SYA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (60.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SYA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SYA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.6x
Fair PS Ratio14x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SYA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (14x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/31 06:23
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Sayona Mining Limited is covered by 3 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Reg SpencerCanaccord Genuity
Hayden BairstowMacquarie Research
Austin YunMacquarie Research