Stock Analysis

Retail investors invested in Sayona Mining Limited (ASX:SYA) copped the brunt of last week's AU$134m market cap decline

ASX:SYA
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Key Insights

  • Sayona Mining's significant retail investors ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • A total of 25 investors have a majority stake in the company with 50% ownership
  • Institutions own 21% of Sayona Mining

Every investor in Sayona Mining Limited (ASX:SYA) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that retail investors own the lion's share in the company with 50% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And following last week's 24% decline in share price, retail investors suffered the most losses.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Sayona Mining.

View our latest analysis for Sayona Mining

ownership-breakdown
ASX:SYA Ownership Breakdown February 25th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Sayona Mining?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

Sayona Mining already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Sayona Mining's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:SYA Earnings and Revenue Growth February 25th 2024

Sayona Mining is not owned by hedge funds. Our data shows that Piedmont Lithium Inc. is the largest shareholder with 22% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 5.0% and 3.6% of the stock.

On studying our ownership data, we found that 25 of the top shareholders collectively own less than 50% of the share register, implying that no single individual has a majority interest.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There is a little analyst coverage of the stock, but not much. So there is room for it to gain more coverage.

Insider Ownership Of Sayona Mining

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Shareholders would probably be interested to learn that insiders own shares in Sayona Mining Limited. In their own names, insiders own AU$22m worth of stock in the AU$432m company. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 50% stake in Sayona Mining. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Public Company Ownership

It appears to us that public companies own 23% of Sayona Mining. This may be a strategic interest and the two companies may have related business interests. It could be that they have de-merged. This holding is probably worth investigating further.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Sayona Mining (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.