Stock Analysis

Here's Why Stanmore Resources (ASX:SMR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

ASX:SMR
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Stanmore Resources Limited (ASX:SMR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Stanmore Resources

What Is Stanmore Resources's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, Stanmore Resources had US$604.1m of debt, up from US$75.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had US$432.4m in cash, and so its net debt is US$171.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:SMR Debt to Equity History May 1st 2023

How Strong Is Stanmore Resources' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Stanmore Resources had liabilities of US$939.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.04b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$432.4m and US$333.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.22b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$1.83b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Stanmore Resources has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.15. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 11.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that Stanmore Resources grew its EBIT by 4,283% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Stanmore Resources's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Stanmore Resources actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

The good news is that Stanmore Resources's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Stanmore Resources's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Stanmore Resources .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.